The expanded 48-team format for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with 12 groups of four and the top two plus eight best third-placed sides advancing to the Round of 32, increases advancement odds compared to prior editions. Squad depth, recent international form, and head-to-head results within groups will shape outcomes, as three points for a win and tiebreakers like goal difference and fair play points determine rankings. Host nations benefit from home matches and crowd support, while European and South American sides often leverage superior attacking records. With group stage fixtures beginning June 11, fitness levels, travel across North America, and any late roster adjustments remain key variables affecting implied probabilities in related markets.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCopa del Mundo: El equipo avanzará a las fases eliminatorias
$395,794 Vol.
Spain
98%
England
97%
France
97%
Brazil
97%
Portugal
96%
Germany
96%
Belgium
96%
Argentina
95%
Switzerland
93%
Mexico
91%
Colombia
88%
Ecuador
87%
Uruguay
86%
Netherlands
86%
Norway
86%
Morocco
85%
Canada
85%
USA
84%
Croatia
81%
Austria
80%
Turkiye
79%
Japan
79%
Ivory Coast
77%
Egypt
73%
Scotland
72%
Czechia
71%
Senegal
70%
South Korea
69%
Algeria
69%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
66%
Paraguay
65%
Sweden
64%
Iran
62%
Ghana
52%
Australia
49%
DR Congo
44%
South Africa
39%
Tunisia
39%
Saudi Arabia
36%
Uzbekistan
35%
New Zealand
33%
Cape Verde
32%
Panama
29%
Qatar
26%
Jordan
20%
Iraq
14%
Haiti
12%
Curacao
12%
$395,794 Vol.
Spain
98%
England
97%
France
97%
Brazil
97%
Portugal
96%
Germany
96%
Belgium
96%
Argentina
95%
Switzerland
93%
Mexico
91%
Colombia
88%
Ecuador
87%
Uruguay
86%
Netherlands
86%
Norway
86%
Morocco
85%
Canada
85%
USA
84%
Croatia
81%
Austria
80%
Turkiye
79%
Japan
79%
Ivory Coast
77%
Egypt
73%
Scotland
72%
Czechia
71%
Senegal
70%
South Korea
69%
Algeria
69%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
66%
Paraguay
65%
Sweden
64%
Iran
62%
Ghana
52%
Australia
49%
DR Congo
44%
South Africa
39%
Tunisia
39%
Saudi Arabia
36%
Uzbekistan
35%
New Zealand
33%
Cape Verde
32%
Panama
29%
Qatar
26%
Jordan
20%
Iraq
14%
Haiti
12%
Curacao
12%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 27, 2026, 10:50 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The expanded 48-team format for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with 12 groups of four and the top two plus eight best third-placed sides advancing to the Round of 32, increases advancement odds compared to prior editions. Squad depth, recent international form, and head-to-head results within groups will shape outcomes, as three points for a win and tiebreakers like goal difference and fair play points determine rankings. Host nations benefit from home matches and crowd support, while European and South American sides often leverage superior attacking records. With group stage fixtures beginning June 11, fitness levels, travel across North America, and any late roster adjustments remain key variables affecting implied probabilities in related markets.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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