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Sports·Soccer

World Cup: Nation To Reach Quarterfinals

icon for World Cup: Nation To Reach Quarterfinals
Sports·Soccer

World Cup: Nation To Reach Quarterfinals

$67,583 Vol.

Polymarket

$67,583 Vol.

Polymarket

Spain

$4,601 Vol.

62%

France

$11,337 Vol.

59%

England

$5,683 Vol.

56%

Argentina

$2,143 Vol.

52%

Brazil

$1,422 Vol.

51%

Portugal

$24,281 Vol.

49%

Germany

$438 Vol.

39%

Netherlands

$107 Vol.

37%

Belgium

$634 Vol.

37%

Norway

$2,532 Vol.

33%

Colombia

$319 Vol.

28%

Switzerland

$21 Vol.

25%

Mexico

$752 Vol.

25%

Morocco

$579 Vol.

25%

USA

$1,816 Vol.

23%

Japan

$3,354 Vol.

22%

Uruguay

$46 Vol.

22%

Turkiye

$520 Vol.

21%

Croatia

$2,529 Vol.

20%

Ecuador

$2,167 Vol.

19%

Senegal

$76 Vol.

16%

Canada

$120 Vol.

14%

Austria

$403 Vol.

13%

Ivory Coast

$590 Vol.

12%

South Korea

$208 Vol.

12%

Paraguay

$21 Vol.

12%

Sweden

$443 Vol.

10%

Scotland

$14 Vol.

9%

Czechia

$0 Vol.

9%

Egypt

$27 Vol.

8%

Algeria

$0 Vol.

7%

Ghana

$0 Vol.

7%

Bosnia and Herzegovina

$0 Vol.

7%

Jordan

$0 Vol.

6%

Uzbekistan

$0 Vol.

6%

Australia

$0 Vol.

5%

Haiti

$0 Vol.

5%

South Africa

$156 Vol.

5%

Iran

$0 Vol.

5%

Panama

$38 Vol.

4%

Saudi Arabia

$0 Vol.

4%

Tunisia

$3 Vol.

4%

DR Congo

$7 Vol.

4%

Qatar

$15 Vol.

3%

Cape Verde

$0 Vol.

3%

New Zealand

$172 Vol.

3%

Iraq

$0 Vol.

3%

Curacao

$5 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 FIFA World Cup's expanded 48-team format and group-stage structure position European and South American powers like Spain, France, and England with strong implied probabilities of advancing to the quarterfinals, driven by roster depth, recent Nations League and qualifier results, and coaching stability. Spain and France enter as consensus frontrunners despite pre-tournament injury concerns, including Lamine Yamal's hamstring recovery and William Saliba's availability, while England benefits from Thomas Tuchel's integration of Premier League talent. Argentina and Brazil face added scrutiny over Lionel Messi's hamstring fatigue and select absences, though their attacking pedigrees sustain market support. Recent squad finalizations and warm-up sessions highlight load management priorities ahead of the June 11 kickoff across North America.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$67,583
Market Opened
Jun 2, 2026, 10:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 FIFA World Cup's expanded 48-team format and group-stage structure position European and South American powers like Spain, France, and England with strong implied probabilities of advancing to the quarterfinals, driven by roster depth, recent Nations League and qualifier results, and coaching stability. Spain and France enter as consensus frontrunners despite pre-tournament injury concerns, including Lamine Yamal's hamstring recovery and William Saliba's availability, while England benefits from Thomas Tuchel's integration of Premier League talent. Argentina and Brazil face added scrutiny over Lionel Messi's hamstring fatigue and select absences, though their attacking pedigrees sustain market support. Recent squad finalizations and warm-up sessions highlight load management priorities ahead of the June 11 kickoff across North America.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$67,583
Market Opened
Jun 2, 2026, 10:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup: Nation To Reach Quarterfinals" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 48+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Spain" at 62%, followed by "France" at 59%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 62¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "World Cup: Nation To Reach Quarterfinals" has generated $67.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "World Cup: Nation To Reach Quarterfinals," browse the 48+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "World Cup: Nation To Reach Quarterfinals" is "Spain" at 62%, meaning the market assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 59%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "World Cup: Nation To Reach Quarterfinals" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.