The ongoing US-Iran conflict, which began in late February 2026, has kept the Strait of Hormuz largely restricted to commercial traffic amid Iranian efforts to enforce a blockade and US countermeasures including a naval blockade initiated in April. US Navy destroyers have conducted multiple transits since April for mine-clearing and escort operations, with Central Command reporting assistance to dozens of commercial vessels in recent weeks through coordinated passages. European allies including France, the UK, and Italy have positioned naval assets in the broader region, though commitments to direct Hormuz transits remain under discussion amid stalled ceasefire talks. Ongoing diplomatic efforts and the risk of renewed incidents could shape which additional nations deploy warships through the waterway before the June 30 deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWhich countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
$42,978 Vol.
30 jun 2026
United Kingdom
13%
France
14%
Germany
4%
Italy
5%
Netherlands
6%
Japan
2%
Canada
3%
India
10%
Greece
7%
Pakistan
13%
United States
38%
Saudi Arabia
14%
UAE
13%
Bahrain
15%
Qatar
11%
Kuwait
11%
Oman
14%
South Korea
11%
Australia
9%
$42,978 Vol.
United Kingdom
$17,188 Vol.
13%
France
$1,567 Vol.
14%
Germany
$1,561 Vol.
4%
Italy
$785 Vol.
5%
Netherlands
$5,913 Vol.
6%
Japan
$908 Vol.
2%
Canada
$131 Vol.
3%
India
$357 Vol.
10%
Greece
$219 Vol.
7%
Pakistan
$297 Vol.
13%
United States
$2,160 Vol.
38%
Saudi Arabia
$51 Vol.
14%
UAE
$92 Vol.
13%
Bahrain
$50 Vol.
15%
Qatar
$77 Vol.
11%
Kuwait
$175 Vol.
11%
Oman
$69 Vol.
14%
South Korea
$79 Vol.
11%
Australia
$11,299 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The ongoing US-Iran conflict, which began in late February 2026, has kept the Strait of Hormuz largely restricted to commercial traffic amid Iranian efforts to enforce a blockade and US countermeasures including a naval blockade initiated in April. US Navy destroyers have conducted multiple transits since April for mine-clearing and escort operations, with Central Command reporting assistance to dozens of commercial vessels in recent weeks through coordinated passages. European allies including France, the UK, and Italy have positioned naval assets in the broader region, though commitments to direct Hormuz transits remain under discussion amid stalled ceasefire talks. Ongoing diplomatic efforts and the risk of renewed incidents could shape which additional nations deploy warships through the waterway before the June 30 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Mercado abierto: May 22, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
Volumen
$42,978Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 22, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The ongoing US-Iran conflict, which began in late February 2026, has kept the Strait of Hormuz largely restricted to commercial traffic amid Iranian efforts to enforce a blockade and US countermeasures including a naval blockade initiated in April. US Navy destroyers have conducted multiple transits since April for mine-clearing and escort operations, with Central Command reporting assistance to dozens of commercial vessels in recent weeks through coordinated passages. European allies including France, the UK, and Italy have positioned naval assets in the broader region, though commitments to direct Hormuz transits remain under discussion amid stalled ceasefire talks. Ongoing diplomatic efforts and the risk of renewed incidents could shape which additional nations deploy warships through the waterway before the June 30 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volumen
$42,978Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 22, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The ongoing US-Iran conflict, which began in late February 2026, has kept the Strait of Hormuz largely restricted to commercial traffic amid Iranian efforts to enforce a blockade and US countermeasures including a naval blockade initiated in April. US Navy destroyers have conducted multiple transits since April for mine-clearing and escort operations, with Central Command reporting assistance to dozens of commercial vessels in recent weeks through coordinated passages. European allies including France, the UK, and Italy have positioned naval assets in the broader region, though commitments to direct Hormuz transits remain under discussion amid stalled ceasefire talks. Ongoing diplomatic efforts and the risk of renewed incidents could shape which additional nations deploy warships through the waterway before the June 30 deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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