The 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage draw sets the foundation for advancement chances, pitting teams against varied opposition in 12 groups of four where the top two finishers plus the eight strongest third-placed sides reach the expanded Round of 32. Pre-tournament form from qualifiers and recent friendlies, combined with squad selections and injury reports on key contributors, heavily influences trader views on a side's prospects. Host nations benefit from familiar venues and rest advantages, while depth in midfield and attack, historical group-stage resilience, and tiebreaker scenarios like goal difference remain pivotal. With matches beginning June 11, late fitness updates and any remaining roster adjustments could still shift implied probabilities ahead of the opening fixtures.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCopa del Mundo: El equipo avanzará a las fases eliminatorias
$229,104 Vol.
Spain
98%
England
97%
Brazil
97%
France
97%
Portugal
96%
Germany
96%
Belgium
96%
Argentina
95%
Switzerland
93%
Netherlands
92%
Mexico
89%
Morocco
88%
Colombia
88%
Ecuador
87%
Uruguay
86%
USA
84%
Canada
83%
Norway
83%
Turkiye
80%
Croatia
80%
Austria
79%
Japan
78%
Ivory Coast
78%
Egypt
73%
Scotland
72%
Senegal
71%
Czechia
70%
South Korea
69%
Algeria
69%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
66%
Paraguay
65%
Sweden
64%
Iran
63%
Ghana
51%
Australia
50%
DR Congo
43%
Tunisia
39%
South Africa
37%
Saudi Arabia
36%
Uzbekistan
34%
New Zealand
33%
Cape Verde
30%
Panama
29%
Jordan
21%
Iraq
16%
Qatar
14%
Curacao
13%
Haiti
12%
$229,104 Vol.
Spain
98%
England
97%
Brazil
97%
France
97%
Portugal
96%
Germany
96%
Belgium
96%
Argentina
95%
Switzerland
93%
Netherlands
92%
Mexico
89%
Morocco
88%
Colombia
88%
Ecuador
87%
Uruguay
86%
USA
84%
Canada
83%
Norway
83%
Turkiye
80%
Croatia
80%
Austria
79%
Japan
78%
Ivory Coast
78%
Egypt
73%
Scotland
72%
Senegal
71%
Czechia
70%
South Korea
69%
Algeria
69%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
66%
Paraguay
65%
Sweden
64%
Iran
63%
Ghana
51%
Australia
50%
DR Congo
43%
Tunisia
39%
South Africa
37%
Saudi Arabia
36%
Uzbekistan
34%
New Zealand
33%
Cape Verde
30%
Panama
29%
Jordan
21%
Iraq
16%
Qatar
14%
Curacao
13%
Haiti
12%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 27, 2026, 10:50 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage draw sets the foundation for advancement chances, pitting teams against varied opposition in 12 groups of four where the top two finishers plus the eight strongest third-placed sides reach the expanded Round of 32. Pre-tournament form from qualifiers and recent friendlies, combined with squad selections and injury reports on key contributors, heavily influences trader views on a side's prospects. Host nations benefit from familiar venues and rest advantages, while depth in midfield and attack, historical group-stage resilience, and tiebreaker scenarios like goal difference remain pivotal. With matches beginning June 11, late fitness updates and any remaining roster adjustments could still shift implied probabilities ahead of the opening fixtures.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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