Skip to main content

Crime predictions & odds

·
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

7%

$38.7K Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

8

Ends in 7 months

What will Trump post this week? (June 9 - 14)

What will Trump post this week? (June 9 - 14)

59%

Ballroom

$9.4K Vol.

$971 Liq.

Ends in about 2 hours

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

91%

Thank 5+ times

$1.8K Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

What will Trump post this week? (June 15 - 21)

What will Trump post this week? (June 15 - 21)

88%

Crime

$960 Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

<1%

June 30

$995K Vol.

$132K today

$260K Liq.

33

Ends in 7 months

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

10%

$59.9K Vol.

$13.5K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

65%

$457 Vol.

$106 Liq.

Ends in 7 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

31%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$4.9K Liq.

135

Ends in 7 months

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

16%

$65.4K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

14

Ends in 7 months

Hasan Piker arrested by June 30?

Hasan Piker arrested by June 30?

2%

$3.5K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?

Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?

5%

$2.8K Vol.

$10.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

9%

June 30

$165K Vol.

$393 Liq.

10

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?

8%

$25.6K Vol.

$18.1K Liq.

17

Ends in 7 months

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

76%

50

$21.0K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

53%

Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar

$143K Vol.

$493 Liq.

2

Les Wexner charged by June 30?

Les Wexner charged by June 30?

5%

$12.2K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Anyone charged over SPLC extremism funding?

Anyone charged over SPLC extremism funding?

19%

$266 Vol.

$112 Liq.

1

Ends in 15 days

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (June 15 - June 21)

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (June 15 - June 21)

100%

Iran

$2.4K Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

17%

$6.5K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

3

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

3%

$4.1K Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Crime.

Polymarket currently hosts 110 active markets for Crime that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? ”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 27% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Crime predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.