Recent model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts places Seoul’s overnight low near 16 °C on May 19, supported by clear skies, light southerly flow, and strong radiative cooling under dry conditions following recent stable weather. This aligns with the historical mid-May range of 13–16 °C at the official Seoul observatory. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 16 °C because forecast guidance clusters tightly in the mid-teens, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind could push the minimum to 17 °C. Upcoming high-resolution model updates and any revisions to boundary-layer moisture will likely refine these odds ahead of the overnight observation window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul on May 19?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 19?
17°C 35%
16°C 35%
18°C 6%
14°C 5.0%
NEW
NEW
May 19, 2026
13°C or below
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
3%
16°C
35%
17°C
29%
18°C
6%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
17°C 35%
16°C 35%
18°C 6%
14°C 5.0%
NEW
NEW
May 19, 2026
13°C or below
$550 Vol.
1%
14°C
$490 Vol.
5%
15°C
$168 Vol.
3%
16°C
$73 Vol.
35%
17°C
$80 Vol.
29%
18°C
$54 Vol.
6%
19°C
$190 Vol.
1%
20°C
$102 Vol.
1%
21°C
$235 Vol.
1%
22°C
$522 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$151 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts places Seoul’s overnight low near 16 °C on May 19, supported by clear skies, light southerly flow, and strong radiative cooling under dry conditions following recent stable weather. This aligns with the historical mid-May range of 13–16 °C at the official Seoul observatory. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 16 °C because forecast guidance clusters tightly in the mid-teens, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind could push the minimum to 17 °C. Upcoming high-resolution model updates and any revisions to boundary-layer moisture will likely refine these odds ahead of the overnight observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,614End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts places Seoul’s overnight low near 16 °C on May 19, supported by clear skies, light southerly flow, and strong radiative cooling under dry conditions following recent stable weather. This aligns with the historical mid-May range of 13–16 °C at the official Seoul observatory. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 16 °C because forecast guidance clusters tightly in the mid-teens, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind could push the minimum to 17 °C. Upcoming high-resolution model updates and any revisions to boundary-layer moisture will likely refine these odds ahead of the overnight observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,614End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRecent model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts places Seoul’s overnight low near 16 °C on May 19, supported by clear skies, light southerly flow, and strong radiative cooling under dry conditions following recent stable weather. This aligns with the historical mid-May range of 13–16 °C at the official Seoul observatory. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 16 °C because forecast guidance clusters tightly in the mid-teens, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind could push the minimum to 17 °C. Upcoming high-resolution model updates and any revisions to boundary-layer moisture will likely refine these odds ahead of the overnight observation window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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