Official Météo-France observations from Paris-Montsouris and surrounding automated stations confirm the minimum temperature on May 13 reached exactly 9°C overnight, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome as final data validation nears. Clear skies and light winds early on May 13 allowed radiational cooling consistent with ECMWF model guidance, which accurately forecasted this low amid a broader cool spell in Île-de-France with recent overnight minima dipping below seasonal norms of 10–11°C. While rare instrument recalibrations or quality-control revisions could theoretically challenge the reading, such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases per historical meteorological audit data, with resolution expected within 24–48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on May 13?
Lowest temperature in Paris on May 13?
10°C <1%
$22,193 Vol.
$22,193 Vol.
May 13, 2026
10°C
<1%
10°C <1%
$22,193 Vol.
$22,193 Vol.
May 13, 2026
10°C
$2,056 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Météo-France observations from Paris-Montsouris and surrounding automated stations confirm the minimum temperature on May 13 reached exactly 9°C overnight, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome as final data validation nears. Clear skies and light winds early on May 13 allowed radiational cooling consistent with ECMWF model guidance, which accurately forecasted this low amid a broader cool spell in Île-de-France with recent overnight minima dipping below seasonal norms of 10–11°C. While rare instrument recalibrations or quality-control revisions could theoretically challenge the reading, such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases per historical meteorological audit data, with resolution expected within 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 11, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volume
$22,193End Date
May 13, 2026Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Météo-France observations from Paris-Montsouris and surrounding automated stations confirm the minimum temperature on May 13 reached exactly 9°C overnight, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome as final data validation nears. Clear skies and light winds early on May 13 allowed radiational cooling consistent with ECMWF model guidance, which accurately forecasted this low amid a broader cool spell in Île-de-France with recent overnight minima dipping below seasonal norms of 10–11°C. While rare instrument recalibrations or quality-control revisions could theoretically challenge the reading, such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases per historical meteorological audit data, with resolution expected within 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$22,193End Date
May 13, 2026Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official Météo-France observations from Paris-Montsouris and surrounding automated stations confirm the minimum temperature on May 13 reached exactly 9°C overnight, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome as final data validation nears. Clear skies and light winds early on May 13 allowed radiational cooling consistent with ECMWF model guidance, which accurately forecasted this low amid a broader cool spell in Île-de-France with recent overnight minima dipping below seasonal norms of 10–11°C. While rare instrument recalibrations or quality-control revisions could theoretically challenge the reading, such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases per historical meteorological audit data, with resolution expected within 24–48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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