Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily high near 29°C in Wuhan on May 22, with thundery showers possible under moderate southerly flow that could limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This positions the 29°C outcome as the narrow leader in trader consensus, while the close probabilities for 28°C and 30°C reflect lingering uncertainty in how convective activity and boundary-layer moisture will influence the afternoon maximum. Historical May climatology shows typical highs of 26–28°C with standard deviations of 2–3°C, underscoring why small shifts in model guidance on timing or intensity of precipitation could readily tip the market between these adjacent thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 22?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 22?
29°C 29%
28°C 24%
30°C 15%
31°C 15%
NEW
NEW
May 22, 2026
26°C or below
7%
27°C
11%
28°C
24%
29°C
29%
30°C
15%
31°C
15%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 29%
28°C 24%
30°C 15%
31°C 15%
NEW
NEW
May 22, 2026
26°C or below
$201 Vol.
7%
27°C
$63 Vol.
11%
28°C
$148 Vol.
24%
29°C
$117 Vol.
29%
30°C
$504 Vol.
15%
31°C
$212 Vol.
15%
32°C
$40 Vol.
3%
33°C
$87 Vol.
1%
34°C
$53 Vol.
1%
35°C
$42 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$119 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily high near 29°C in Wuhan on May 22, with thundery showers possible under moderate southerly flow that could limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This positions the 29°C outcome as the narrow leader in trader consensus, while the close probabilities for 28°C and 30°C reflect lingering uncertainty in how convective activity and boundary-layer moisture will influence the afternoon maximum. Historical May climatology shows typical highs of 26–28°C with standard deviations of 2–3°C, underscoring why small shifts in model guidance on timing or intensity of precipitation could readily tip the market between these adjacent thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 20, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$1,559End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily high near 29°C in Wuhan on May 22, with thundery showers possible under moderate southerly flow that could limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This positions the 29°C outcome as the narrow leader in trader consensus, while the close probabilities for 28°C and 30°C reflect lingering uncertainty in how convective activity and boundary-layer moisture will influence the afternoon maximum. Historical May climatology shows typical highs of 26–28°C with standard deviations of 2–3°C, underscoring why small shifts in model guidance on timing or intensity of precipitation could readily tip the market between these adjacent thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,559End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily high near 29°C in Wuhan on May 22, with thundery showers possible under moderate southerly flow that could limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This positions the 29°C outcome as the narrow leader in trader consensus, while the close probabilities for 28°C and 30°C reflect lingering uncertainty in how convective activity and boundary-layer moisture will influence the afternoon maximum. Historical May climatology shows typical highs of 26–28°C with standard deviations of 2–3°C, underscoring why small shifts in model guidance on timing or intensity of precipitation could readily tip the market between these adjacent thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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