Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and private meteorological services indicate a high temperature of 83–84°F for Dallas on May 22, with partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds supporting daytime heating. This aligns with late-May climatology, when average highs reach 84–85°F and the probability of exceeding 80°F routinely surpasses 85 percent based on historical observations. Recent model consensus across short-range guidance shows minimal risk of a late cold front or widespread cloud cover that could suppress temperatures below the 80°F threshold. A sudden shift in steering patterns or unforecasted convective development remains possible but would require significant deviation from current atmospheric conditions to alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on May 22?
80°F or higher 91.5%
78-79°F 4.9%
76-77°F 1.5%
70-71°F <1%
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
5%
80°F or higher
92%
80°F or higher 91.5%
78-79°F 4.9%
76-77°F 1.5%
70-71°F <1%
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
5%
80°F or higher
92%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and private meteorological services indicate a high temperature of 83–84°F for Dallas on May 22, with partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds supporting daytime heating. This aligns with late-May climatology, when average highs reach 84–85°F and the probability of exceeding 80°F routinely surpasses 85 percent based on historical observations. Recent model consensus across short-range guidance shows minimal risk of a late cold front or widespread cloud cover that could suppress temperatures below the 80°F threshold. A sudden shift in steering patterns or unforecasted convective development remains possible but would require significant deviation from current atmospheric conditions to alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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