Recent forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a transitional spring pattern over Seoul, with overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies likely producing a daily minimum near 12–16°C on May 24. Clearer intervals or light winds could enhance surface heat loss and push readings toward 11°C or below, while increased cloud cover or a weak warm advection would support higher values around 15–17°C. Historical climatology for late May shows average lows near 14°C, providing context for the tight spread in trader-implied probabilities. Updated short-range model runs and official guidance issued in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul on May 24?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 24?
11°C or below 24%
13°C 20%
15°C 20%
16°C 20%
NEW
NEW
May 24, 2026
11°C or below
24%
12°C
18%
13°C
20%
14°C
19%
15°C
20%
16°C
20%
17°C
18%
18°C
16%
19°C
5%
20°C
5%
21°C or higher
9%
11°C or below 24%
13°C 20%
15°C 20%
16°C 20%
NEW
NEW
May 24, 2026
11°C or below
$15 Vol.
24%
12°C
$5 Vol.
18%
13°C
$5 Vol.
20%
14°C
$14 Vol.
19%
15°C
$5 Vol.
20%
16°C
$5 Vol.
20%
17°C
$5 Vol.
18%
18°C
$5 Vol.
16%
19°C
$26 Vol.
5%
20°C
$84 Vol.
5%
21°C or higher
$63 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a transitional spring pattern over Seoul, with overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies likely producing a daily minimum near 12–16°C on May 24. Clearer intervals or light winds could enhance surface heat loss and push readings toward 11°C or below, while increased cloud cover or a weak warm advection would support higher values around 15–17°C. Historical climatology for late May shows average lows near 14°C, providing context for the tight spread in trader-implied probabilities. Updated short-range model runs and official guidance issued in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 20, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
Volume
$232End Date
May 24, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:40 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a transitional spring pattern over Seoul, with overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies likely producing a daily minimum near 12–16°C on May 24. Clearer intervals or light winds could enhance surface heat loss and push readings toward 11°C or below, while increased cloud cover or a weak warm advection would support higher values around 15–17°C. Historical climatology for late May shows average lows near 14°C, providing context for the tight spread in trader-implied probabilities. Updated short-range model runs and official guidance issued in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$232End Date
May 24, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:40 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a transitional spring pattern over Seoul, with overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies likely producing a daily minimum near 12–16°C on May 24. Clearer intervals or light winds could enhance surface heat loss and push readings toward 11°C or below, while increased cloud cover or a weak warm advection would support higher values around 15–17°C. Historical climatology for late May shows average lows near 14°C, providing context for the tight spread in trader-implied probabilities. Updated short-range model runs and official guidance issued in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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