Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s minimum temperature on May 24 centers on values in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius, reflecting model consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and international guidance for above-normal seasonal warmth during the spring-to-summer transition. Current atmospheric patterns, including persistent subtropical ridging, limit cooler air intrusions while supporting typical overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Historical May minima average near 24 °C, yet recent years show an upward trend consistent with broader regional warming. The closely matched probabilities across 25–28 °C outcomes highlight remaining uncertainty in exact low-level moisture and any late-day shower activity that could modestly alter the diurnal range. Updated short-range model runs expected over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for refining these market-implied odds.