Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate a peak daytime temperature in Milan on May 22 likely reaching 28–29 °C, driven by southerly flow of warmer Mediterranean air under a broad high-pressure ridge. This setup favors modest warming above the city’s long-term May average high of roughly 22–24 °C while limiting convective cooling or cloud cover that could cap readings. Model spread remains modest, with most runs clustering between 27 °C and 30 °C, though small timing differences in the ridge’s position could shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C. Final resolution will depend on official observations from Milan Linate airport, which record the daily high under standard World Meteorological Organization protocols.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on May 22?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 22?
28°C 35%
29°C 32%
27°C 17%
30°C 15%
NEW
NEW
May 22, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
17%
28°C
35%
29°C
32%
30°C
15%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
28°C 35%
29°C 32%
27°C 17%
30°C 15%
NEW
NEW
May 22, 2026
23°C or below
$2,137 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,833 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,693 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$601 Vol.
3%
27°C
$251 Vol.
17%
28°C
$500 Vol.
35%
29°C
$541 Vol.
32%
30°C
$473 Vol.
15%
31°C
$247 Vol.
4%
32°C
$191 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$91 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate a peak daytime temperature in Milan on May 22 likely reaching 28–29 °C, driven by southerly flow of warmer Mediterranean air under a broad high-pressure ridge. This setup favors modest warming above the city’s long-term May average high of roughly 22–24 °C while limiting convective cooling or cloud cover that could cap readings. Model spread remains modest, with most runs clustering between 27 °C and 30 °C, though small timing differences in the ridge’s position could shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C. Final resolution will depend on official observations from Milan Linate airport, which record the daily high under standard World Meteorological Organization protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 20, 2026, 12:45 AM ET
Volume
$8,559End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:45 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate a peak daytime temperature in Milan on May 22 likely reaching 28–29 °C, driven by southerly flow of warmer Mediterranean air under a broad high-pressure ridge. This setup favors modest warming above the city’s long-term May average high of roughly 22–24 °C while limiting convective cooling or cloud cover that could cap readings. Model spread remains modest, with most runs clustering between 27 °C and 30 °C, though small timing differences in the ridge’s position could shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C. Final resolution will depend on official observations from Milan Linate airport, which record the daily high under standard World Meteorological Organization protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$8,559End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:45 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate a peak daytime temperature in Milan on May 22 likely reaching 28–29 °C, driven by southerly flow of warmer Mediterranean air under a broad high-pressure ridge. This setup favors modest warming above the city’s long-term May average high of roughly 22–24 °C while limiting convective cooling or cloud cover that could cap readings. Model spread remains modest, with most runs clustering between 27 °C and 30 °C, though small timing differences in the ridge’s position could shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C. Final resolution will depend on official observations from Milan Linate airport, which record the daily high under standard World Meteorological Organization protocols.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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