The dominant market positioning at 99.9% for a highest temperature of 94–95°F in New York City on May 20 stems from National Weather Service observations confirming a peak reading within that narrow range amid a strong high-pressure system and above-normal southerly flow. This outcome aligns with model consensus from the previous 48 hours, which consistently projected maximums near the mid-90s under mostly clear skies and light winds that limited mixing and allowed surface heating to intensify. Historical climatology for late May in the region shows such values occur during brief heat intrusions, supporting the tight probability band. Only unexpected revisions to official station data from Central Park or LaGuardia could shift the result outside this bin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on May 20?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 20?
94-95°F 100.0%
96-97°F <1%
98-99°F <1%
100-101°F <1%
$59,545 Vol.
$59,545 Vol.
May 20, 2026
94-95°F
100%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 100.0%
96-97°F <1%
98-99°F <1%
100-101°F <1%
$59,545 Vol.
$59,545 Vol.
May 20, 2026
94-95°F
$9,192 Vol.
100%
96-97°F
$9,720 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$2,386 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$2,245 Vol.
<1%
102-103°F
$1,502 Vol.
<1%
104°F or higher
$359 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The dominant market positioning at 99.9% for a highest temperature of 94–95°F in New York City on May 20 stems from National Weather Service observations confirming a peak reading within that narrow range amid a strong high-pressure system and above-normal southerly flow. This outcome aligns with model consensus from the previous 48 hours, which consistently projected maximums near the mid-90s under mostly clear skies and light winds that limited mixing and allowed surface heating to intensify. Historical climatology for late May in the region shows such values occur during brief heat intrusions, supporting the tight probability band. Only unexpected revisions to official station data from Central Park or LaGuardia could shift the result outside this bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 18, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$59,545End Date
May 20, 2026Market Opened
May 18, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The dominant market positioning at 99.9% for a highest temperature of 94–95°F in New York City on May 20 stems from National Weather Service observations confirming a peak reading within that narrow range amid a strong high-pressure system and above-normal southerly flow. This outcome aligns with model consensus from the previous 48 hours, which consistently projected maximums near the mid-90s under mostly clear skies and light winds that limited mixing and allowed surface heating to intensify. Historical climatology for late May in the region shows such values occur during brief heat intrusions, supporting the tight probability band. Only unexpected revisions to official station data from Central Park or LaGuardia could shift the result outside this bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$59,545End Date
May 20, 2026Market Opened
May 18, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The dominant market positioning at 99.9% for a highest temperature of 94–95°F in New York City on May 20 stems from National Weather Service observations confirming a peak reading within that narrow range amid a strong high-pressure system and above-normal southerly flow. This outcome aligns with model consensus from the previous 48 hours, which consistently projected maximums near the mid-90s under mostly clear skies and light winds that limited mixing and allowed surface heating to intensify. Historical climatology for late May in the region shows such values occur during brief heat intrusions, supporting the tight probability band. Only unexpected revisions to official station data from Central Park or LaGuardia could shift the result outside this bin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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