Recent National Weather Service and NOAA forecast models project a daytime high near 71°F for Denver on May 22 under typical late-spring southerly flow and clear to partly cloudy skies, placing the outcome firmly above 54°F. This consensus stems from persistent above-normal temperatures across the Front Range, with ensemble guidance showing minimal spread and no incoming Arctic air mass or widespread cloud cover to suppress readings. Historical climatology supports the positioning, as May 22 averages around 74°F with only rare excursions below 55°F. Traders have priced in this strong model agreement, though modest uncertainty remains around exact timing of any afternoon convection or localized cooling from brief showers that could trim the peak by a few degrees.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on May 22?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 22?
54°F or higher 98.6%
52-53°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
NEW
$36,518 Vol.
NEW
$36,518 Vol.
May 22, 2026
35°F or below
<1%
36-37°F
<1%
38-39°F
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
1%
54°F or higher
99%
54°F or higher 98.6%
52-53°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
NEW
$36,518 Vol.
NEW
$36,518 Vol.
May 22, 2026
35°F or below
$991 Vol.
<1%
36-37°F
$1,146 Vol.
<1%
38-39°F
$706 Vol.
<1%
40-41°F
$12,706 Vol.
<1%
42-43°F
$6,711 Vol.
<1%
44-45°F
$1,096 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$1,112 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$2,690 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$2,157 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$3,073 Vol.
1%
54°F or higher
$4,375 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA forecast models project a daytime high near 71°F for Denver on May 22 under typical late-spring southerly flow and clear to partly cloudy skies, placing the outcome firmly above 54°F. This consensus stems from persistent above-normal temperatures across the Front Range, with ensemble guidance showing minimal spread and no incoming Arctic air mass or widespread cloud cover to suppress readings. Historical climatology supports the positioning, as May 22 averages around 74°F with only rare excursions below 55°F. Traders have priced in this strong model agreement, though modest uncertainty remains around exact timing of any afternoon convection or localized cooling from brief showers that could trim the peak by a few degrees.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 20, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Volume
$36,518End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:27 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA forecast models project a daytime high near 71°F for Denver on May 22 under typical late-spring southerly flow and clear to partly cloudy skies, placing the outcome firmly above 54°F. This consensus stems from persistent above-normal temperatures across the Front Range, with ensemble guidance showing minimal spread and no incoming Arctic air mass or widespread cloud cover to suppress readings. Historical climatology supports the positioning, as May 22 averages around 74°F with only rare excursions below 55°F. Traders have priced in this strong model agreement, though modest uncertainty remains around exact timing of any afternoon convection or localized cooling from brief showers that could trim the peak by a few degrees.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$36,518End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:27 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and NOAA forecast models project a daytime high near 71°F for Denver on May 22 under typical late-spring southerly flow and clear to partly cloudy skies, placing the outcome firmly above 54°F. This consensus stems from persistent above-normal temperatures across the Front Range, with ensemble guidance showing minimal spread and no incoming Arctic air mass or widespread cloud cover to suppress readings. Historical climatology supports the positioning, as May 22 averages around 74°F with only rare excursions below 55°F. Traders have priced in this strong model agreement, though modest uncertainty remains around exact timing of any afternoon convection or localized cooling from brief showers that could trim the peak by a few degrees.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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