Current forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate a highest temperature in Beijing on May 22 most likely between 20°C and 22°C, driven by a slow-moving high-pressure system that limits daytime heating while allowing scattered cloud cover and light showers to moderate afternoon peaks. Ensemble runs show modest variability tied to exact timing of any frontal passage and boundary-layer moisture, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around these three outcomes. Historical May climatology places average daily maxima near 26°C, yet recent upstream cold-air advection has kept readings several degrees below seasonal norms, consistent with the observed downward shift in probabilities. Updated guidance from official monitoring agencies is expected later today and will refine land-surface temperature projections ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on May 22?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 22?
21°C 27%
22°C 27%
20°C 21%
19°C 13%
NEW
NEW
May 22, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
13%
20°C
21%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
8%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
2%
21°C 27%
22°C 27%
20°C 21%
19°C 13%
NEW
NEW
May 22, 2026
15°C or below
$455 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$655 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$208 Vol.
1%
18°C
$169 Vol.
3%
19°C
$153 Vol.
13%
20°C
$133 Vol.
21%
21°C
$382 Vol.
27%
22°C
$373 Vol.
27%
23°C
$137 Vol.
8%
24°C
$141 Vol.
2%
25°C or higher
$136 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate a highest temperature in Beijing on May 22 most likely between 20°C and 22°C, driven by a slow-moving high-pressure system that limits daytime heating while allowing scattered cloud cover and light showers to moderate afternoon peaks. Ensemble runs show modest variability tied to exact timing of any frontal passage and boundary-layer moisture, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around these three outcomes. Historical May climatology places average daily maxima near 26°C, yet recent upstream cold-air advection has kept readings several degrees below seasonal norms, consistent with the observed downward shift in probabilities. Updated guidance from official monitoring agencies is expected later today and will refine land-surface temperature projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 20, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volume
$2,943End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate a highest temperature in Beijing on May 22 most likely between 20°C and 22°C, driven by a slow-moving high-pressure system that limits daytime heating while allowing scattered cloud cover and light showers to moderate afternoon peaks. Ensemble runs show modest variability tied to exact timing of any frontal passage and boundary-layer moisture, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around these three outcomes. Historical May climatology places average daily maxima near 26°C, yet recent upstream cold-air advection has kept readings several degrees below seasonal norms, consistent with the observed downward shift in probabilities. Updated guidance from official monitoring agencies is expected later today and will refine land-surface temperature projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,943End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate a highest temperature in Beijing on May 22 most likely between 20°C and 22°C, driven by a slow-moving high-pressure system that limits daytime heating while allowing scattered cloud cover and light showers to moderate afternoon peaks. Ensemble runs show modest variability tied to exact timing of any frontal passage and boundary-layer moisture, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around these three outcomes. Historical May climatology places average daily maxima near 26°C, yet recent upstream cold-air advection has kept readings several degrees below seasonal norms, consistent with the observed downward shift in probabilities. Updated guidance from official monitoring agencies is expected later today and will refine land-surface temperature projections ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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