Recent observational data from Shenzhen's official meteorological network confirm that daytime temperatures reached or exceeded 31°C on May 20, aligning with the dominant market consensus for this threshold. Seasonal warming patterns typical for mid-May in the Pearl River Delta, combined with urban heat island effects and light southerly winds, supported peak readings above historical averages of 28–30°C. Model consensus from regional forecasts had already pointed to these conditions in the preceding 48 hours, with minimal divergence among major guidance sources. Verification of the final daily maximum from authoritative agencies could refine details, yet current measurements leave little realistic room for a lower outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 20?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 20?
28°C <1%
$72,511 Vol.
$72,511 Vol.
May 20, 2026
28°C
<1%
28°C <1%
$72,511 Vol.
$72,511 Vol.
May 20, 2026
28°C
$15,665 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent observational data from Shenzhen's official meteorological network confirm that daytime temperatures reached or exceeded 31°C on May 20, aligning with the dominant market consensus for this threshold. Seasonal warming patterns typical for mid-May in the Pearl River Delta, combined with urban heat island effects and light southerly winds, supported peak readings above historical averages of 28–30°C. Model consensus from regional forecasts had already pointed to these conditions in the preceding 48 hours, with minimal divergence among major guidance sources. Verification of the final daily maximum from authoritative agencies could refine details, yet current measurements leave little realistic room for a lower outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 18, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
Volume
$72,511End Date
May 20, 2026Market Opened
May 18, 2026, 1:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent observational data from Shenzhen's official meteorological network confirm that daytime temperatures reached or exceeded 31°C on May 20, aligning with the dominant market consensus for this threshold. Seasonal warming patterns typical for mid-May in the Pearl River Delta, combined with urban heat island effects and light southerly winds, supported peak readings above historical averages of 28–30°C. Model consensus from regional forecasts had already pointed to these conditions in the preceding 48 hours, with minimal divergence among major guidance sources. Verification of the final daily maximum from authoritative agencies could refine details, yet current measurements leave little realistic room for a lower outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$72,511End Date
May 20, 2026Market Opened
May 18, 2026, 1:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent observational data from Shenzhen's official meteorological network confirm that daytime temperatures reached or exceeded 31°C on May 20, aligning with the dominant market consensus for this threshold. Seasonal warming patterns typical for mid-May in the Pearl River Delta, combined with urban heat island effects and light southerly winds, supported peak readings above historical averages of 28–30°C. Model consensus from regional forecasts had already pointed to these conditions in the preceding 48 hours, with minimal divergence among major guidance sources. Verification of the final daily maximum from authoritative agencies could refine details, yet current measurements leave little realistic room for a lower outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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