Official meteorological observations from Austin's primary weather stations placed the daily maximum temperature firmly in the 84–85°F range on May 20, underpinning the near-certain trader consensus. National Weather Service records and regional climate analyses reflect typical mid-May conditions across central Texas, with moderate southerly flow, partial cloud cover, and daytime heating limited by a stable boundary layer. NOAA climate monitoring data show no anomalous warm-air advection or clear-sky intensification that would push readings higher. While post-event verification occasionally adjusts preliminary values, established quality-control protocols make meaningful revisions to the official high highly unlikely before final market settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on May 20?
84-85°F 99.9%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$61,487 Vol.
$61,487 Vol.
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 99.9%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$61,487 Vol.
$61,487 Vol.
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 18, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official meteorological observations from Austin's primary weather stations placed the daily maximum temperature firmly in the 84–85°F range on May 20, underpinning the near-certain trader consensus. National Weather Service records and regional climate analyses reflect typical mid-May conditions across central Texas, with moderate southerly flow, partial cloud cover, and daytime heating limited by a stable boundary layer. NOAA climate monitoring data show no anomalous warm-air advection or clear-sky intensification that would push readings higher. While post-event verification occasionally adjusts preliminary values, established quality-control protocols make meaningful revisions to the official high highly unlikely before final market settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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