The overwhelming market consensus for a highest temperature of 31°C or above in Panama City on May 20 stems from the city's tropical maritime climate, where May typically features strong solar insolation near the equator and average daily maxima of 31–32°C according to long-term records from Panama's meteorological service. Surrounding ocean waters provide limited cooling, and the transition into the wet season rarely produces enough cloud cover or rainfall to suppress peaks below this level. Minor variability from afternoon showers could occur, but historical patterns show such cooling rarely exceeds 1–2°C and seldom challenges the 31°C threshold. Updated station observations will finalize the outcome once fully processed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on May 20?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 20?
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$45,632 Vol.
$45,632 Vol.
May 20, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$45,632 Vol.
$45,632 Vol.
May 20, 2026
21°C or below
$21,221 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,121 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,095 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$3,090 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$92 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$268 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming market consensus for a highest temperature of 31°C or above in Panama City on May 20 stems from the city's tropical maritime climate, where May typically features strong solar insolation near the equator and average daily maxima of 31–32°C according to long-term records from Panama's meteorological service. Surrounding ocean waters provide limited cooling, and the transition into the wet season rarely produces enough cloud cover or rainfall to suppress peaks below this level. Minor variability from afternoon showers could occur, but historical patterns show such cooling rarely exceeds 1–2°C and seldom challenges the 31°C threshold. Updated station observations will finalize the outcome once fully processed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 18, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Volume
$45,632End Date
May 20, 2026Market Opened
May 18, 2026, 12:36 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming market consensus for a highest temperature of 31°C or above in Panama City on May 20 stems from the city's tropical maritime climate, where May typically features strong solar insolation near the equator and average daily maxima of 31–32°C according to long-term records from Panama's meteorological service. Surrounding ocean waters provide limited cooling, and the transition into the wet season rarely produces enough cloud cover or rainfall to suppress peaks below this level. Minor variability from afternoon showers could occur, but historical patterns show such cooling rarely exceeds 1–2°C and seldom challenges the 31°C threshold. Updated station observations will finalize the outcome once fully processed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$45,632End Date
May 20, 2026Market Opened
May 18, 2026, 12:36 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The overwhelming market consensus for a highest temperature of 31°C or above in Panama City on May 20 stems from the city's tropical maritime climate, where May typically features strong solar insolation near the equator and average daily maxima of 31–32°C according to long-term records from Panama's meteorological service. Surrounding ocean waters provide limited cooling, and the transition into the wet season rarely produces enough cloud cover or rainfall to suppress peaks below this level. Minor variability from afternoon showers could occur, but historical patterns show such cooling rarely exceeds 1–2°C and seldom challenges the 31°C threshold. Updated station observations will finalize the outcome once fully processed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions