Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight a competition between subtropical high pressure and incoming moisture over the Pearl River Delta, producing scattered afternoon thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima. This dynamic keeps the most likely high near 28–29°C, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities for those outcomes and the lower odds for 30°C or above. Historical May climatology in Shenzhen shows averages around 29°C, but current model runs emphasize convective inhibition and reduced insolation as key variables that could shift the final reading by a degree or two depending on storm timing and intensity. Traders monitor updated guidance ahead of official station observations for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 21?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 21?
27°C 40%
28°C 29%
26°C 18.5%
29°C 15%
NEW
$33,411 Vol.
NEW
$33,411 Vol.
May 21, 2026
25°C
<1%
26°C
19%
27°C
40%
28°C
29%
29°C
15%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 40%
28°C 29%
26°C 18.5%
29°C 15%
NEW
$33,411 Vol.
NEW
$33,411 Vol.
May 21, 2026
25°C
$19,301 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$5,263 Vol.
19%
27°C
$1,216 Vol.
40%
28°C
$1,056 Vol.
29%
29°C
$1,160 Vol.
15%
30°C
$1,497 Vol.
5%
31°C
$1,885 Vol.
2%
32°C or higher
$2,158 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight a competition between subtropical high pressure and incoming moisture over the Pearl River Delta, producing scattered afternoon thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima. This dynamic keeps the most likely high near 28–29°C, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities for those outcomes and the lower odds for 30°C or above. Historical May climatology in Shenzhen shows averages around 29°C, but current model runs emphasize convective inhibition and reduced insolation as key variables that could shift the final reading by a degree or two depending on storm timing and intensity. Traders monitor updated guidance ahead of official station observations for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$33,411End Date
May 21, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight a competition between subtropical high pressure and incoming moisture over the Pearl River Delta, producing scattered afternoon thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima. This dynamic keeps the most likely high near 28–29°C, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities for those outcomes and the lower odds for 30°C or above. Historical May climatology in Shenzhen shows averages around 29°C, but current model runs emphasize convective inhibition and reduced insolation as key variables that could shift the final reading by a degree or two depending on storm timing and intensity. Traders monitor updated guidance ahead of official station observations for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$33,411End Date
May 21, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight a competition between subtropical high pressure and incoming moisture over the Pearl River Delta, producing scattered afternoon thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima. This dynamic keeps the most likely high near 28–29°C, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities for those outcomes and the lower odds for 30°C or above. Historical May climatology in Shenzhen shows averages around 29°C, but current model runs emphasize convective inhibition and reduced insolation as key variables that could shift the final reading by a degree or two depending on storm timing and intensity. Traders monitor updated guidance ahead of official station observations for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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