Recent National Weather Service and local meteorological model consensus projects a daytime high of 73–75°F for Seattle on May 22 under sunny skies and a strengthening high-pressure ridge, well above the 64°F threshold. This aligns with the market’s 98.6% implied probability for 64°F or higher, as short-range ensembles show minimal spread and no significant marine-layer intrusion or onshore flow expected to suppress temperatures. Historical climatology places average May 22 highs near 65°F, but the current warm anomaly driven by subsidence and clear conditions reinforces trader confidence. Only an abrupt shift in steering patterns or unforecasted cloud cover could realistically push the reading below 64°F, though such deviations remain low-probability within the final 24-hour window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seattle on May 22?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 22?
64°F or higher 98.6%
62-63°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
NEW
$35,674 Vol.
NEW
$35,674 Vol.
May 22, 2026
45°F or below
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64°F or higher
99%
64°F or higher 98.6%
62-63°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
NEW
$35,674 Vol.
NEW
$35,674 Vol.
May 22, 2026
45°F or below
$1,203 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$6,319 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$6,738 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$7,076 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$632 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$632 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$6,533 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$632 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$836 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$1,287 Vol.
1%
64°F or higher
$3,785 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service and local meteorological model consensus projects a daytime high of 73–75°F for Seattle on May 22 under sunny skies and a strengthening high-pressure ridge, well above the 64°F threshold. This aligns with the market’s 98.6% implied probability for 64°F or higher, as short-range ensembles show minimal spread and no significant marine-layer intrusion or onshore flow expected to suppress temperatures. Historical climatology places average May 22 highs near 65°F, but the current warm anomaly driven by subsidence and clear conditions reinforces trader confidence. Only an abrupt shift in steering patterns or unforecasted cloud cover could realistically push the reading below 64°F, though such deviations remain low-probability within the final 24-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$35,674End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service and local meteorological model consensus projects a daytime high of 73–75°F for Seattle on May 22 under sunny skies and a strengthening high-pressure ridge, well above the 64°F threshold. This aligns with the market’s 98.6% implied probability for 64°F or higher, as short-range ensembles show minimal spread and no significant marine-layer intrusion or onshore flow expected to suppress temperatures. Historical climatology places average May 22 highs near 65°F, but the current warm anomaly driven by subsidence and clear conditions reinforces trader confidence. Only an abrupt shift in steering patterns or unforecasted cloud cover could realistically push the reading below 64°F, though such deviations remain low-probability within the final 24-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$35,674End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and local meteorological model consensus projects a daytime high of 73–75°F for Seattle on May 22 under sunny skies and a strengthening high-pressure ridge, well above the 64°F threshold. This aligns with the market’s 98.6% implied probability for 64°F or higher, as short-range ensembles show minimal spread and no significant marine-layer intrusion or onshore flow expected to suppress temperatures. Historical climatology places average May 22 highs near 65°F, but the current warm anomaly driven by subsidence and clear conditions reinforces trader confidence. Only an abrupt shift in steering patterns or unforecasted cloud cover could realistically push the reading below 64°F, though such deviations remain low-probability within the final 24-hour window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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