Taiwan's Central Weather Administration forecasts place Taipei's May 22 daytime maximum near 33–34 °C beneath a subtropical ridge, with light southerly flow and partly cloudy skies limiting strong surface heating. Model consensus shows modest spread around these values because boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convection can shift the observed high by 1–2 °C, keeping 32 °C and 33 °C as the tightest market clusters. Historical May climatology for northern Taiwan averages 29–32 °C, so the current ridge-driven setup represents above-normal warmth without crossing into extreme territory. Updated CWA guidance and afternoon model runs tomorrow morning remain the key variables that could nudge final resolution between the leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on May 22?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 22?
33°C 26%
32°C 22%
31°C 16%
35°C 13%
NEW
NEW
May 22, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
6%
31°C
16%
32°C
22%
33°C
26%
34°C
11%
35°C
13%
36°C or higher
3%
33°C 26%
32°C 22%
31°C 16%
35°C 13%
NEW
NEW
May 22, 2026
26°C or below
$390 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$967 Vol.
2%
28°C
$417 Vol.
4%
29°C
$314 Vol.
4%
30°C
$51 Vol.
6%
31°C
$201 Vol.
16%
32°C
$179 Vol.
22%
33°C
$171 Vol.
26%
34°C
$93 Vol.
11%
35°C
$206 Vol.
13%
36°C or higher
$353 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan's Central Weather Administration forecasts place Taipei's May 22 daytime maximum near 33–34 °C beneath a subtropical ridge, with light southerly flow and partly cloudy skies limiting strong surface heating. Model consensus shows modest spread around these values because boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convection can shift the observed high by 1–2 °C, keeping 32 °C and 33 °C as the tightest market clusters. Historical May climatology for northern Taiwan averages 29–32 °C, so the current ridge-driven setup represents above-normal warmth without crossing into extreme territory. Updated CWA guidance and afternoon model runs tomorrow morning remain the key variables that could nudge final resolution between the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 20, 2026, 12:54 AM ET
Volume
$3,342End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:54 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan's Central Weather Administration forecasts place Taipei's May 22 daytime maximum near 33–34 °C beneath a subtropical ridge, with light southerly flow and partly cloudy skies limiting strong surface heating. Model consensus shows modest spread around these values because boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convection can shift the observed high by 1–2 °C, keeping 32 °C and 33 °C as the tightest market clusters. Historical May climatology for northern Taiwan averages 29–32 °C, so the current ridge-driven setup represents above-normal warmth without crossing into extreme territory. Updated CWA guidance and afternoon model runs tomorrow morning remain the key variables that could nudge final resolution between the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,342End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:54 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwan's Central Weather Administration forecasts place Taipei's May 22 daytime maximum near 33–34 °C beneath a subtropical ridge, with light southerly flow and partly cloudy skies limiting strong surface heating. Model consensus shows modest spread around these values because boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convection can shift the observed high by 1–2 °C, keeping 32 °C and 33 °C as the tightest market clusters. Historical May climatology for northern Taiwan averages 29–32 °C, so the current ridge-driven setup represents above-normal warmth without crossing into extreme territory. Updated CWA guidance and afternoon model runs tomorrow morning remain the key variables that could nudge final resolution between the leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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