The dominant market consensus around a 14°C high for Wellington on May 17 stems from the latest MetService forecast models, which project a maximum temperature of exactly that value under prevailing southerly flow and extensive low cloud. This outcome aligns with mid-May climatology for the region, where daily highs typically range 12–16°C amid autumnal cooling and frequent frontal passages. Official observations through the morning and afternoon have remained consistent with these guidance runs, limiting upside potential. While modest clearing later in the day could allow brief warming, current atmospheric profiles and model consensus indicate such a shift remains unlikely before the observation period closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on May 17?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 17?
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$53,107 Vol.
$53,107 Vol.
May 17, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$53,107 Vol.
$53,107 Vol.
May 17, 2026
8°C or below
$4,661 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$2,840 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$2,362 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$3,482 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,258 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$7,893 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$7,636 Vol.
100%
15°C
$4,602 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$8,352 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$4,197 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$4,824 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The dominant market consensus around a 14°C high for Wellington on May 17 stems from the latest MetService forecast models, which project a maximum temperature of exactly that value under prevailing southerly flow and extensive low cloud. This outcome aligns with mid-May climatology for the region, where daily highs typically range 12–16°C amid autumnal cooling and frequent frontal passages. Official observations through the morning and afternoon have remained consistent with these guidance runs, limiting upside potential. While modest clearing later in the day could allow brief warming, current atmospheric profiles and model consensus indicate such a shift remains unlikely before the observation period closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$53,107End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The dominant market consensus around a 14°C high for Wellington on May 17 stems from the latest MetService forecast models, which project a maximum temperature of exactly that value under prevailing southerly flow and extensive low cloud. This outcome aligns with mid-May climatology for the region, where daily highs typically range 12–16°C amid autumnal cooling and frequent frontal passages. Official observations through the morning and afternoon have remained consistent with these guidance runs, limiting upside potential. While modest clearing later in the day could allow brief warming, current atmospheric profiles and model consensus indicate such a shift remains unlikely before the observation period closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$53,107End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNThe dominant market consensus around a 14°C high for Wellington on May 17 stems from the latest MetService forecast models, which project a maximum temperature of exactly that value under prevailing southerly flow and extensive low cloud. This outcome aligns with mid-May climatology for the region, where daily highs typically range 12–16°C amid autumnal cooling and frequent frontal passages. Official observations through the morning and afternoon have remained consistent with these guidance runs, limiting upside potential. While modest clearing later in the day could allow brief warming, current atmospheric profiles and model consensus indicate such a shift remains unlikely before the observation period closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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