Karachi's subtropical climate and pre-monsoon conditions are driving the overwhelming market consensus for a daily high of 37°C or above, with current observations and short-range model runs from the Pakistan Meteorological Department showing persistent clear skies, strong solar heating, and minimal moisture influx keeping afternoon temperatures elevated. Official measurements from the Pakistan Meteorological Department will determine the exact peak, and while typical May highs hover near 35°C, the current setup of dry air and intense insolation supports exceeding the 37°C threshold. Realistic challenges include any unexpected sea-breeze strengthening or brief cloud cover that could cap the high a degree or two lower, though model consensus currently shows low probability for such shifts before sunset.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on May 17?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 17?
37°C or higher 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$29,278 Vol.
$29,278 Vol.
May 17, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
100%
37°C or higher 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$29,278 Vol.
$29,278 Vol.
May 17, 2026
27°C or below
$2,195 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,699 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,594 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,017 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$624 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,870 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$3,026 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$3,659 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,756 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$5,155 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$1,708 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Karachi's subtropical climate and pre-monsoon conditions are driving the overwhelming market consensus for a daily high of 37°C or above, with current observations and short-range model runs from the Pakistan Meteorological Department showing persistent clear skies, strong solar heating, and minimal moisture influx keeping afternoon temperatures elevated. Official measurements from the Pakistan Meteorological Department will determine the exact peak, and while typical May highs hover near 35°C, the current setup of dry air and intense insolation supports exceeding the 37°C threshold. Realistic challenges include any unexpected sea-breeze strengthening or brief cloud cover that could cap the high a degree or two lower, though model consensus currently shows low probability for such shifts before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$29,278End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Karachi's subtropical climate and pre-monsoon conditions are driving the overwhelming market consensus for a daily high of 37°C or above, with current observations and short-range model runs from the Pakistan Meteorological Department showing persistent clear skies, strong solar heating, and minimal moisture influx keeping afternoon temperatures elevated. Official measurements from the Pakistan Meteorological Department will determine the exact peak, and while typical May highs hover near 35°C, the current setup of dry air and intense insolation supports exceeding the 37°C threshold. Realistic challenges include any unexpected sea-breeze strengthening or brief cloud cover that could cap the high a degree or two lower, though model consensus currently shows low probability for such shifts before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$29,278End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCKarachi's subtropical climate and pre-monsoon conditions are driving the overwhelming market consensus for a daily high of 37°C or above, with current observations and short-range model runs from the Pakistan Meteorological Department showing persistent clear skies, strong solar heating, and minimal moisture influx keeping afternoon temperatures elevated. Official measurements from the Pakistan Meteorological Department will determine the exact peak, and while typical May highs hover near 35°C, the current setup of dry air and intense insolation supports exceeding the 37°C threshold. Realistic challenges include any unexpected sea-breeze strengthening or brief cloud cover that could cap the high a degree or two lower, though model consensus currently shows low probability for such shifts before sunset.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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