MetService's latest forecast pins Wellington's May 15 high temperature at 13°C under mainly fine conditions with southeasterlies, reflecting persistent cool southerly airflow from recent frontal passages that moderated today's maximum to 14°C despite partial clearing. Trader consensus splits nearly evenly between 13°C (37.5%) and 14°C (36.5%), capturing model discrepancies—yr.no ensembles show 14°C potential if winds ease slightly or skies clear faster in the afternoon, while historical May averages hover around 14°C amid autumnal variability. Key differentiators include cloud cover evolution and wind speeds above 20 km/h, which could cap peaks; expect refined guidance from afternoon model runs and NIWA observations resolving the market tomorrow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on May 15?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 15?
13°C 38%
14°C 37%
15°C 15%
12°C 8%
NEW
$12,477 Vol.
NEW
$12,477 Vol.
May 15, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
8%
13°C
38%
14°C
37%
15°C
15%
16°C
4%
17°C or higher
1%
13°C 38%
14°C 37%
15°C 15%
12°C 8%
NEW
$12,477 Vol.
NEW
$12,477 Vol.
May 15, 2026
7°C or below
$1,307 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$694 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$1,020 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$994 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$545 Vol.
1%
12°C
$2,191 Vol.
8%
13°C
$1,122 Vol.
38%
14°C
$955 Vol.
37%
15°C
$1,384 Vol.
15%
16°C
$1,981 Vol.
4%
17°C or higher
$385 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast pins Wellington's May 15 high temperature at 13°C under mainly fine conditions with southeasterlies, reflecting persistent cool southerly airflow from recent frontal passages that moderated today's maximum to 14°C despite partial clearing. Trader consensus splits nearly evenly between 13°C (37.5%) and 14°C (36.5%), capturing model discrepancies—yr.no ensembles show 14°C potential if winds ease slightly or skies clear faster in the afternoon, while historical May averages hover around 14°C amid autumnal variability. Key differentiators include cloud cover evolution and wind speeds above 20 km/h, which could cap peaks; expect refined guidance from afternoon model runs and NIWA observations resolving the market tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$12,477End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast pins Wellington's May 15 high temperature at 13°C under mainly fine conditions with southeasterlies, reflecting persistent cool southerly airflow from recent frontal passages that moderated today's maximum to 14°C despite partial clearing. Trader consensus splits nearly evenly between 13°C (37.5%) and 14°C (36.5%), capturing model discrepancies—yr.no ensembles show 14°C potential if winds ease slightly or skies clear faster in the afternoon, while historical May averages hover around 14°C amid autumnal variability. Key differentiators include cloud cover evolution and wind speeds above 20 km/h, which could cap peaks; expect refined guidance from afternoon model runs and NIWA observations resolving the market tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$12,477End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast pins Wellington's May 15 high temperature at 13°C under mainly fine conditions with southeasterlies, reflecting persistent cool southerly airflow from recent frontal passages that moderated today's maximum to 14°C despite partial clearing. Trader consensus splits nearly evenly between 13°C (37.5%) and 14°C (36.5%), capturing model discrepancies—yr.no ensembles show 14°C potential if winds ease slightly or skies clear faster in the afternoon, while historical May averages hover around 14°C amid autumnal variability. Key differentiators include cloud cover evolution and wind speeds above 20 km/h, which could cap peaks; expect refined guidance from afternoon model runs and NIWA observations resolving the market tomorrow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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