Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy conditions for Tokyo on June 12, supporting daytime highs near 25°C amid the early tsuyu rainy season transition. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities clustering around 24–26°C, as reduced solar heating under persistent cloud cover typically limits peaks relative to seasonal June averages of 25–27°C. Key variables include model consensus on cloud thickness and any late-day clearing that could allow modest warming, alongside typical measurement uncertainty in urban station data. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds for this short-range temperature outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 12?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 12?
25°C 34%
26°C 23%
24°C 22%
23°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Jun 12, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
12%
24°C
22%
25°C
34%
26°C
23%
27°C
10%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 34%
26°C 23%
24°C 22%
23°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Jun 12, 2026
19°C or below
$20 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$30 Vol.
1%
22°C
$10 Vol.
4%
23°C
$289 Vol.
12%
24°C
$32 Vol.
22%
25°C
$30 Vol.
34%
26°C
$98 Vol.
23%
27°C
$28 Vol.
10%
28°C
$30 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$30 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy conditions for Tokyo on June 12, supporting daytime highs near 25°C amid the early tsuyu rainy season transition. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities clustering around 24–26°C, as reduced solar heating under persistent cloud cover typically limits peaks relative to seasonal June averages of 25–27°C. Key variables include model consensus on cloud thickness and any late-day clearing that could allow modest warming, alongside typical measurement uncertainty in urban station data. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds for this short-range temperature outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$562End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy conditions for Tokyo on June 12, supporting daytime highs near 25°C amid the early tsuyu rainy season transition. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities clustering around 24–26°C, as reduced solar heating under persistent cloud cover typically limits peaks relative to seasonal June averages of 25–27°C. Key variables include model consensus on cloud thickness and any late-day clearing that could allow modest warming, alongside typical measurement uncertainty in urban station data. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds for this short-range temperature outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$562End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy conditions for Tokyo on June 12, supporting daytime highs near 25°C amid the early tsuyu rainy season transition. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities clustering around 24–26°C, as reduced solar heating under persistent cloud cover typically limits peaks relative to seasonal June averages of 25–27°C. Key variables include model consensus on cloud thickness and any late-day clearing that could allow modest warming, alongside typical measurement uncertainty in urban station data. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds for this short-range temperature outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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