Taiwan's Central Weather Administration forecasts and ensemble models currently point to a highest temperature in Taipei on May 19 between 30°C and 32°C, reflecting typical mid-May subtropical conditions where diurnal heating under a strengthening Pacific high-pressure ridge drives afternoon peaks in that range. Historical data from comparable dates show an average high near 29–31°C, with variability introduced by cloud cover, humidity from the approaching Meiyu front, and potential sea-breeze moderation that can cap or boost readings by 1–2°C. Trader consensus around the closely matched 31°C and 32°C outcomes captures this narrow uncertainty window, while lower probabilities on 33°C or higher align with the limited likelihood of exceptional clear-sky intensification before any frontal passage. Updated model runs and official CWA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these projections as the event approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on May 19?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 19?
31°C 28%
32°C 28%
30°C 16%
33°C 11%
NEW
NEW
May 19, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
16%
31°C
28%
32°C
28%
33°C
11%
34°C or higher
2%
31°C 28%
32°C 28%
30°C 16%
33°C 11%
NEW
NEW
May 19, 2026
24°C or below
$610 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$610 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$687 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$165 Vol.
1%
28°C
$392 Vol.
4%
29°C
$115 Vol.
8%
30°C
$13 Vol.
16%
31°C
$72 Vol.
28%
32°C
$132 Vol.
28%
33°C
$212 Vol.
11%
34°C or higher
$146 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan's Central Weather Administration forecasts and ensemble models currently point to a highest temperature in Taipei on May 19 between 30°C and 32°C, reflecting typical mid-May subtropical conditions where diurnal heating under a strengthening Pacific high-pressure ridge drives afternoon peaks in that range. Historical data from comparable dates show an average high near 29–31°C, with variability introduced by cloud cover, humidity from the approaching Meiyu front, and potential sea-breeze moderation that can cap or boost readings by 1–2°C. Trader consensus around the closely matched 31°C and 32°C outcomes captures this narrow uncertainty window, while lower probabilities on 33°C or higher align with the limited likelihood of exceptional clear-sky intensification before any frontal passage. Updated model runs and official CWA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these projections as the event approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$3,154End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan's Central Weather Administration forecasts and ensemble models currently point to a highest temperature in Taipei on May 19 between 30°C and 32°C, reflecting typical mid-May subtropical conditions where diurnal heating under a strengthening Pacific high-pressure ridge drives afternoon peaks in that range. Historical data from comparable dates show an average high near 29–31°C, with variability introduced by cloud cover, humidity from the approaching Meiyu front, and potential sea-breeze moderation that can cap or boost readings by 1–2°C. Trader consensus around the closely matched 31°C and 32°C outcomes captures this narrow uncertainty window, while lower probabilities on 33°C or higher align with the limited likelihood of exceptional clear-sky intensification before any frontal passage. Updated model runs and official CWA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these projections as the event approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,154End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSTaiwan's Central Weather Administration forecasts and ensemble models currently point to a highest temperature in Taipei on May 19 between 30°C and 32°C, reflecting typical mid-May subtropical conditions where diurnal heating under a strengthening Pacific high-pressure ridge drives afternoon peaks in that range. Historical data from comparable dates show an average high near 29–31°C, with variability introduced by cloud cover, humidity from the approaching Meiyu front, and potential sea-breeze moderation that can cap or boost readings by 1–2°C. Trader consensus around the closely matched 31°C and 32°C outcomes captures this narrow uncertainty window, while lower probabilities on 33°C or higher align with the limited likelihood of exceptional clear-sky intensification before any frontal passage. Updated model runs and official CWA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these projections as the event approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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