Official observations from the Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport weather station—the designated source for this market—recorded a high temperature of 95°F (35°C) in Panama City on May 13, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 33°C or higher. Midday readings already exceeded 91°F (33°C) under persistent high pressure, low humidity, and abundant sunshine typical of late dry season conditions, surpassing the May climatological average of 31°C. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified meteorological data with minimal uncertainty post-event, though an extremely rare official revision to preliminary station logs could theoretically challenge resolution. No further forecast updates expected.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on May 13?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 13?
33°C or higher 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$24,649 Vol.
$24,649 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
Yes
33°C or higher 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$24,649 Vol.
$24,649 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 11, 2026, 12:51 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from the Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport weather station—the designated source for this market—recorded a high temperature of 95°F (35°C) in Panama City on May 13, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 33°C or higher. Midday readings already exceeded 91°F (33°C) under persistent high pressure, low humidity, and abundant sunshine typical of late dry season conditions, surpassing the May climatological average of 31°C. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified meteorological data with minimal uncertainty post-event, though an extremely rare official revision to preliminary station logs could theoretically challenge resolution. No further forecast updates expected.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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