National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high near 86°F (30°C) in Panama City, Florida, under sunny skies with light northwest winds, but Polymarket traders heavily favor 32°C (90°F) or higher at 81.5% implied probability for the Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport station in Panama City, Panama—the market's resolution source—reflecting its equatorial climate where May highs consistently average 30–32°C amid the wet season. Recent AccuWeather projections for May 14 specifically indicate 34°C under mostly cloudy conditions with light rain, driving sentiment amid low historical variability (rarely below 30°C). Drier air patterns noted in regional updates reduce cooling influences, though inherent forecast uncertainty persists; real-time observations from the airport station will finalize resolution by day's end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on May 14?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 14?
32°C or higher 82%
31°C 13%
30°C 1.8%
28°C <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
13%
32°C or higher
82%
32°C or higher 82%
31°C 13%
30°C 1.8%
28°C <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
13%
32°C or higher
82%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high near 86°F (30°C) in Panama City, Florida, under sunny skies with light northwest winds, but Polymarket traders heavily favor 32°C (90°F) or higher at 81.5% implied probability for the Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport station in Panama City, Panama—the market's resolution source—reflecting its equatorial climate where May highs consistently average 30–32°C amid the wet season. Recent AccuWeather projections for May 14 specifically indicate 34°C under mostly cloudy conditions with light rain, driving sentiment amid low historical variability (rarely below 30°C). Drier air patterns noted in regional updates reduce cooling influences, though inherent forecast uncertainty persists; real-time observations from the airport station will finalize resolution by day's end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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