Current forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Global Forecast System (GFS), and Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) ICON runs converge on a highest temperature of 17–18°C in Munich on May 19, driven by a lingering cool polar air mass, persistent cloud cover, and weak shortwave radiation under an upper-level trough. Light southwesterly winds and patchy rain or drizzle are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping values near seasonal norms of 17–19°C rather than allowing stronger insolation. These conditions create tight clustering among the leading market outcomes, with traders weighing minor model divergences in afternoon clearing or slight warm advection that could nudge readings to 19°C or cap them at 16°C. Updated short-range guidance and hourly airport observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to the Munich Airport station maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on May 19?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 19?
18°C 35%
17°C 26%
19°C 21%
16°C 13%
NEW
NEW
May 19, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
13%
17°C
26%
18°C
35%
19°C
21%
20°C
5%
21°C or higher
1%
18°C 35%
17°C 26%
19°C 21%
16°C 13%
NEW
NEW
May 19, 2026
11°C or below
$141 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$394 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$231 Vol.
1%
15°C
$332 Vol.
2%
16°C
$401 Vol.
13%
17°C
$262 Vol.
26%
18°C
$159 Vol.
35%
19°C
$387 Vol.
21%
20°C
$44 Vol.
5%
21°C or higher
$65 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Global Forecast System (GFS), and Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) ICON runs converge on a highest temperature of 17–18°C in Munich on May 19, driven by a lingering cool polar air mass, persistent cloud cover, and weak shortwave radiation under an upper-level trough. Light southwesterly winds and patchy rain or drizzle are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping values near seasonal norms of 17–19°C rather than allowing stronger insolation. These conditions create tight clustering among the leading market outcomes, with traders weighing minor model divergences in afternoon clearing or slight warm advection that could nudge readings to 19°C or cap them at 16°C. Updated short-range guidance and hourly airport observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to the Munich Airport station maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$2,446End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Global Forecast System (GFS), and Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) ICON runs converge on a highest temperature of 17–18°C in Munich on May 19, driven by a lingering cool polar air mass, persistent cloud cover, and weak shortwave radiation under an upper-level trough. Light southwesterly winds and patchy rain or drizzle are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping values near seasonal norms of 17–19°C rather than allowing stronger insolation. These conditions create tight clustering among the leading market outcomes, with traders weighing minor model divergences in afternoon clearing or slight warm advection that could nudge readings to 19°C or cap them at 16°C. Updated short-range guidance and hourly airport observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to the Munich Airport station maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,446End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMCurrent forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Global Forecast System (GFS), and Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) ICON runs converge on a highest temperature of 17–18°C in Munich on May 19, driven by a lingering cool polar air mass, persistent cloud cover, and weak shortwave radiation under an upper-level trough. Light southwesterly winds and patchy rain or drizzle are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping values near seasonal norms of 17–19°C rather than allowing stronger insolation. These conditions create tight clustering among the leading market outcomes, with traders weighing minor model divergences in afternoon clearing or slight warm advection that could nudge readings to 19°C or cap them at 16°C. Updated short-range guidance and hourly airport observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to the Munich Airport station maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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