Recent forecast models from meteorological services project Moscow's maximum temperature on June 6 near 24–25°C, driving the tight market distribution between those two outcomes. Early June climatology in the region features daytime highs averaging 22°C under transitional spring-to-summer atmospheric patterns, with current observations showing recent maxima around 24°C amid stable high pressure and light winds. Minor model variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread, while the absence of significant frontal systems or advection supports limited upside potential beyond 26°C. Updated runs from agencies like Roshydromet will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on June 6?
24°C 36%
25°C 26%
23°C 15%
26°C 11%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
15%
24°C
36%
25°C
26%
26°C
11%
27°C
7%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
24°C 36%
25°C 26%
23°C 15%
26°C 11%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
15%
24°C
36%
25°C
26%
26°C
11%
27°C
7%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 5, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from meteorological services project Moscow's maximum temperature on June 6 near 24–25°C, driving the tight market distribution between those two outcomes. Early June climatology in the region features daytime highs averaging 22°C under transitional spring-to-summer atmospheric patterns, with current observations showing recent maxima around 24°C amid stable high pressure and light winds. Minor model variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread, while the absence of significant frontal systems or advection supports limited upside potential beyond 26°C. Updated runs from agencies like Roshydromet will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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