Recent short-term forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a Beijing high of 21–23°C on June 6, driven by northeasterly winds, persistent cloud cover, and light rain that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s overwhelming 93.5% implied probability for 22°C or below. Historical early-June averages near 28–30°C highlight how unusual the current pattern is, though model agreement remains high. A sudden clearing of skies or stronger southerly flow could push readings into the mid-20s, but such shifts appear unlikely before the observation window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on June 6?
Highest temperature in Beijing on June 6?
22°C or below 94%
23°C 6%
24°C 1.1%
29°C 1.0%
NEW
NEW
Jun 6, 2026
22°C or below
94%
23°C
6%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
1%
22°C or below 94%
23°C 6%
24°C 1.1%
29°C 1.0%
NEW
NEW
Jun 6, 2026
22°C or below
$550 Vol.
94%
23°C
$515 Vol.
6%
24°C
$759 Vol.
1%
25°C
$304 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$307 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$143 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$146 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$5 Vol.
1%
30°C
$36 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a Beijing high of 21–23°C on June 6, driven by northeasterly winds, persistent cloud cover, and light rain that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s overwhelming 93.5% implied probability for 22°C or below. Historical early-June averages near 28–30°C highlight how unusual the current pattern is, though model agreement remains high. A sudden clearing of skies or stronger southerly flow could push readings into the mid-20s, but such shifts appear unlikely before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 5, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$2,581End Date
Jun 6, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a Beijing high of 21–23°C on June 6, driven by northeasterly winds, persistent cloud cover, and light rain that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s overwhelming 93.5% implied probability for 22°C or below. Historical early-June averages near 28–30°C highlight how unusual the current pattern is, though model agreement remains high. A sudden clearing of skies or stronger southerly flow could push readings into the mid-20s, but such shifts appear unlikely before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,581End Date
Jun 6, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a Beijing high of 21–23°C on June 6, driven by northeasterly winds, persistent cloud cover, and light rain that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s overwhelming 93.5% implied probability for 22°C or below. Historical early-June averages near 28–30°C highlight how unusual the current pattern is, though model agreement remains high. A sudden clearing of skies or stronger southerly flow could push readings into the mid-20s, but such shifts appear unlikely before the observation window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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