Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for New York City indicate an overnight low in the upper 60s Fahrenheit under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, keeping the market tightly split between the 66–69°F bins at roughly 76% combined implied probability. Typical early-June climatology features lows near 62°F, but a warm, moist air mass has suppressed radiative cooling and limited the diurnal temperature range. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with only small variations in cloud cover or wind speed able to shift the minimum by 1–2°F; any unexpected clearing tonight could push readings toward the lower end of the favored range before sunrise.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in NYC on June 5?
Lowest temperature in NYC on June 5?
66-67°F 44%
68-69°F 39%
70-71°F 25.5%
64-65°F 19%
NEW
$12,279 Vol.
NEW
$12,279 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
19%
66-67°F
37%
68-69°F
39%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
66-67°F 44%
68-69°F 39%
70-71°F 25.5%
64-65°F 19%
NEW
$12,279 Vol.
NEW
$12,279 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
59°F or below
$2,418 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$770 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$1,763 Vol.
2%
64-65°F
$216 Vol.
19%
66-67°F
$189 Vol.
37%
68-69°F
$258 Vol.
39%
70-71°F
$950 Vol.
19%
72-73°F
$2,380 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$393 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$1,054 Vol.
<1%
78°F or higher
$2,030 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for New York City indicate an overnight low in the upper 60s Fahrenheit under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, keeping the market tightly split between the 66–69°F bins at roughly 76% combined implied probability. Typical early-June climatology features lows near 62°F, but a warm, moist air mass has suppressed radiative cooling and limited the diurnal temperature range. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with only small variations in cloud cover or wind speed able to shift the minimum by 1–2°F; any unexpected clearing tonight could push readings toward the lower end of the favored range before sunrise.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 3, 2026, 12:46 AM ET
Volume
$12,279End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:46 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for New York City indicate an overnight low in the upper 60s Fahrenheit under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, keeping the market tightly split between the 66–69°F bins at roughly 76% combined implied probability. Typical early-June climatology features lows near 62°F, but a warm, moist air mass has suppressed radiative cooling and limited the diurnal temperature range. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with only small variations in cloud cover or wind speed able to shift the minimum by 1–2°F; any unexpected clearing tonight could push readings toward the lower end of the favored range before sunrise.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,279End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:46 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for New York City indicate an overnight low in the upper 60s Fahrenheit under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, keeping the market tightly split between the 66–69°F bins at roughly 76% combined implied probability. Typical early-June climatology features lows near 62°F, but a warm, moist air mass has suppressed radiative cooling and limited the diurnal temperature range. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with only small variations in cloud cover or wind speed able to shift the minimum by 1–2°F; any unexpected clearing tonight could push readings toward the lower end of the favored range before sunrise.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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