National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models for Los Angeles International Airport, the official station for this market, pointed to a daytime high of 70–72°F on June 4, closely matching the early-June climatological normal of 71°F. Persistent marine layer and sea breeze effects suppressed warming, with no offshore flow or heat-wave setup developing in recent days to elevate readings. This scientific consensus on typical early-summer conditions at the coast underpins the overwhelming market-implied probability for the 70–71°F bracket. Only a significant and unexpected afternoon clearing or model error could realistically shift the outcome higher, though updated runs through the afternoon offered little indication of such divergence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on June 4?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on June 4?
70-71°F 99.9%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$66,981 Vol.
$66,981 Vol.
Jun 4, 2026
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
100%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 99.9%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$66,981 Vol.
$66,981 Vol.
Jun 4, 2026
55°F or below
$816 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$313 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$959 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$1,010 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$317 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,533 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$4,314 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$20,599 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$15,071 Vol.
100%
72-73°F
$9,350 Vol.
<1%
74°F or higher
$12,697 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models for Los Angeles International Airport, the official station for this market, pointed to a daytime high of 70–72°F on June 4, closely matching the early-June climatological normal of 71°F. Persistent marine layer and sea breeze effects suppressed warming, with no offshore flow or heat-wave setup developing in recent days to elevate readings. This scientific consensus on typical early-summer conditions at the coast underpins the overwhelming market-implied probability for the 70–71°F bracket. Only a significant and unexpected afternoon clearing or model error could realistically shift the outcome higher, though updated runs through the afternoon offered little indication of such divergence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$66,981End Date
Jun 4, 2026Market Opened
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models for Los Angeles International Airport, the official station for this market, pointed to a daytime high of 70–72°F on June 4, closely matching the early-June climatological normal of 71°F. Persistent marine layer and sea breeze effects suppressed warming, with no offshore flow or heat-wave setup developing in recent days to elevate readings. This scientific consensus on typical early-summer conditions at the coast underpins the overwhelming market-implied probability for the 70–71°F bracket. Only a significant and unexpected afternoon clearing or model error could realistically shift the outcome higher, though updated runs through the afternoon offered little indication of such divergence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$66,981End Date
Jun 4, 2026Market Opened
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models for Los Angeles International Airport, the official station for this market, pointed to a daytime high of 70–72°F on June 4, closely matching the early-June climatological normal of 71°F. Persistent marine layer and sea breeze effects suppressed warming, with no offshore flow or heat-wave setup developing in recent days to elevate readings. This scientific consensus on typical early-summer conditions at the coast underpins the overwhelming market-implied probability for the 70–71°F bracket. Only a significant and unexpected afternoon clearing or model error could realistically shift the outcome higher, though updated runs through the afternoon offered little indication of such divergence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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