Current short-term forecast models from the National Weather Service and private ensembles indicate Miami's June 6 overnight low will most likely settle in the 73–75°F range, consistent with early-summer climatology where average minima hover near 77°F. High atmospheric moisture and the urban heat island effect limit radiative cooling, while light easterly trade winds and the position of the Bermuda High steer any diurnal thunderstorms that can produce brief cooling. Minor model differences in cloud cover timing and shower coverage explain the tight clustering among the leading bins, with lower outcomes requiring clearer skies or stronger onshore flow and higher readings tied to suppressed convection. Updated model runs tonight will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on June 6?
Lowest temperature in Miami on June 6?
74-75°F 25%
72-73°F 21%
76-77°F 21%
78-79°F 13.1%
NEW
NEW
Jun 6, 2026
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
15%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
1%
74-75°F 25%
72-73°F 21%
76-77°F 21%
78-79°F 13.1%
NEW
NEW
Jun 6, 2026
67°F or below
$1,568 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$16 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$56 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$20 Vol.
15%
74-75°F
$59 Vol.
25%
76-77°F
$71 Vol.
21%
78-79°F
$30 Vol.
11%
80-81°F
$61 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$26 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$49 Vol.
1%
86°F or higher
$140 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecast models from the National Weather Service and private ensembles indicate Miami's June 6 overnight low will most likely settle in the 73–75°F range, consistent with early-summer climatology where average minima hover near 77°F. High atmospheric moisture and the urban heat island effect limit radiative cooling, while light easterly trade winds and the position of the Bermuda High steer any diurnal thunderstorms that can produce brief cooling. Minor model differences in cloud cover timing and shower coverage explain the tight clustering among the leading bins, with lower outcomes requiring clearer skies or stronger onshore flow and higher readings tied to suppressed convection. Updated model runs tonight will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 5, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Volume
$2,084End Date
Jun 6, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 12:37 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecast models from the National Weather Service and private ensembles indicate Miami's June 6 overnight low will most likely settle in the 73–75°F range, consistent with early-summer climatology where average minima hover near 77°F. High atmospheric moisture and the urban heat island effect limit radiative cooling, while light easterly trade winds and the position of the Bermuda High steer any diurnal thunderstorms that can produce brief cooling. Minor model differences in cloud cover timing and shower coverage explain the tight clustering among the leading bins, with lower outcomes requiring clearer skies or stronger onshore flow and higher readings tied to suppressed convection. Updated model runs tonight will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,084End Date
Jun 6, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 12:37 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-term forecast models from the National Weather Service and private ensembles indicate Miami's June 6 overnight low will most likely settle in the 73–75°F range, consistent with early-summer climatology where average minima hover near 77°F. High atmospheric moisture and the urban heat island effect limit radiative cooling, while light easterly trade winds and the position of the Bermuda High steer any diurnal thunderstorms that can produce brief cooling. Minor model differences in cloud cover timing and shower coverage explain the tight clustering among the leading bins, with lower outcomes requiring clearer skies or stronger onshore flow and higher readings tied to suppressed convection. Updated model runs tonight will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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