The onset of the Southwest Monsoon in early June 2026, combined with Meteorological Service Singapore forecasts for above-average temperatures and below-average rainfall through mid-month, underpins trader consensus around 33°C as the most probable daily maximum for June 6. Official outlooks indicate typical highs of 33–34°C on most days during this period, with occasional peaks near 35°C possible under drier conditions, while localized afternoon thundery showers could moderate peaks on any given day. These patterns align with the current market-implied probabilities favoring 32–34°C outcomes, reflecting the balance between seasonal warming influences and short-term convective activity. Updated model guidance and the next NEA daily forecast release remain key variables that could shift implied odds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on June 6?
Highest temperature in Singapore on June 6?
33°C 46%
32°C 25%
34°C 21%
31°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Jun 6, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C
25%
33°C
46%
34°C
21%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
33°C 46%
32°C 25%
34°C 21%
31°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Jun 6, 2026
28°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$176 Vol.
1%
30°C
$1,577 Vol.
1%
31°C
$470 Vol.
6%
32°C
$245 Vol.
25%
33°C
$255 Vol.
46%
34°C
$172 Vol.
21%
35°C
$199 Vol.
4%
36°C
$5 Vol.
1%
37°C
$5 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The onset of the Southwest Monsoon in early June 2026, combined with Meteorological Service Singapore forecasts for above-average temperatures and below-average rainfall through mid-month, underpins trader consensus around 33°C as the most probable daily maximum for June 6. Official outlooks indicate typical highs of 33–34°C on most days during this period, with occasional peaks near 35°C possible under drier conditions, while localized afternoon thundery showers could moderate peaks on any given day. These patterns align with the current market-implied probabilities favoring 32–34°C outcomes, reflecting the balance between seasonal warming influences and short-term convective activity. Updated model guidance and the next NEA daily forecast release remain key variables that could shift implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 5, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Volume
$2,898End Date
Jun 6, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 12:17 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The onset of the Southwest Monsoon in early June 2026, combined with Meteorological Service Singapore forecasts for above-average temperatures and below-average rainfall through mid-month, underpins trader consensus around 33°C as the most probable daily maximum for June 6. Official outlooks indicate typical highs of 33–34°C on most days during this period, with occasional peaks near 35°C possible under drier conditions, while localized afternoon thundery showers could moderate peaks on any given day. These patterns align with the current market-implied probabilities favoring 32–34°C outcomes, reflecting the balance between seasonal warming influences and short-term convective activity. Updated model guidance and the next NEA daily forecast release remain key variables that could shift implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,898End Date
Jun 6, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 12:17 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The onset of the Southwest Monsoon in early June 2026, combined with Meteorological Service Singapore forecasts for above-average temperatures and below-average rainfall through mid-month, underpins trader consensus around 33°C as the most probable daily maximum for June 6. Official outlooks indicate typical highs of 33–34°C on most days during this period, with occasional peaks near 35°C possible under drier conditions, while localized afternoon thundery showers could moderate peaks on any given day. These patterns align with the current market-implied probabilities favoring 32–34°C outcomes, reflecting the balance between seasonal warming influences and short-term convective activity. Updated model guidance and the next NEA daily forecast release remain key variables that could shift implied odds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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