Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and supporting model consensus project a Seoul daytime high near 23°C on June 5 under partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds, and relatively low humidity that together limit afternoon heating. These conditions place the market-implied probabilities for 22°C and 23°C in close contention, as small variations in cloud cover or wind speed can shift peak temperatures by a degree or two. Official resolution will hinge on the KMA’s verified maximum reading, with historical early-June averages around 25–27°C providing context for why traders currently discount warmer outcomes above 25°C absent unexpected clearing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on June 5?
23°C 37%
22°C 34.3%
24°C 12%
21°C 6.4%
$112,684 Vol.
$112,684 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
6%
22°C
34%
23°C
37%
24°C
12%
25°C
6%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 37%
22°C 34.3%
24°C 12%
21°C 6.4%
$112,684 Vol.
$112,684 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
6%
22°C
34%
23°C
37%
24°C
12%
25°C
6%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and supporting model consensus project a Seoul daytime high near 23°C on June 5 under partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds, and relatively low humidity that together limit afternoon heating. These conditions place the market-implied probabilities for 22°C and 23°C in close contention, as small variations in cloud cover or wind speed can shift peak temperatures by a degree or two. Official resolution will hinge on the KMA’s verified maximum reading, with historical early-June averages around 25–27°C providing context for why traders currently discount warmer outcomes above 25°C absent unexpected clearing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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