Current forecasts from major meteorological sources, including model consensus for Shanghai on June 5, project a daily maximum near 27–28°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies typical of the early plum rain season, with moderate humidity and light winds limiting daytime heating. This aligns with climatological norms for early June, when highs average 25–28°C before the peak summer monsoon intensifies. Recent model runs show no strong warming signal or clear-sky periods that would push temperatures toward 29°C or above, while cooler boundary-layer conditions keep sub-26°C outcomes less likely. Traders have priced 27°C as the modal outcome at 57% implied probability based on these stable, near-term guidance trends, with narrower spreads on adjacent bins reflecting residual forecast uncertainty in timing of any cloud breaks or moisture influx.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 5?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 5?
27°C 58%
26°C 26%
28°C 14%
29°C 3.1%
NUEVO
$80,554 Vol.
NUEVO
$80,554 Vol.
5 jun 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
26%
27°C
58%
28°C
14%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 58%
26°C 26%
28°C 14%
29°C 3.1%
NUEVO
$80,554 Vol.
NUEVO
$80,554 Vol.
5 jun 2026
22°C or below
$4,958 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,625 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$18,166 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$13,220 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$9,320 Vol.
26%
27°C
$5,482 Vol.
58%
28°C
$6,217 Vol.
14%
29°C
$8,049 Vol.
3%
30°C
$8,289 Vol.
1%
31°C
$2,977 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$3,183 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from major meteorological sources, including model consensus for Shanghai on June 5, project a daily maximum near 27–28°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies typical of the early plum rain season, with moderate humidity and light winds limiting daytime heating. This aligns with climatological norms for early June, when highs average 25–28°C before the peak summer monsoon intensifies. Recent model runs show no strong warming signal or clear-sky periods that would push temperatures toward 29°C or above, while cooler boundary-layer conditions keep sub-26°C outcomes less likely. Traders have priced 27°C as the modal outcome at 57% implied probability based on these stable, near-term guidance trends, with narrower spreads on adjacent bins reflecting residual forecast uncertainty in timing of any cloud breaks or moisture influx.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 3, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Volumen
$80,554Fecha de finalización
5 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 3, 2026, 12:15 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from major meteorological sources, including model consensus for Shanghai on June 5, project a daily maximum near 27–28°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies typical of the early plum rain season, with moderate humidity and light winds limiting daytime heating. This aligns with climatological norms for early June, when highs average 25–28°C before the peak summer monsoon intensifies. Recent model runs show no strong warming signal or clear-sky periods that would push temperatures toward 29°C or above, while cooler boundary-layer conditions keep sub-26°C outcomes less likely. Traders have priced 27°C as the modal outcome at 57% implied probability based on these stable, near-term guidance trends, with narrower spreads on adjacent bins reflecting residual forecast uncertainty in timing of any cloud breaks or moisture influx.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$80,554Fecha de finalización
5 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 3, 2026, 12:15 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from major meteorological sources, including model consensus for Shanghai on June 5, project a daily maximum near 27–28°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies typical of the early plum rain season, with moderate humidity and light winds limiting daytime heating. This aligns with climatological norms for early June, when highs average 25–28°C before the peak summer monsoon intensifies. Recent model runs show no strong warming signal or clear-sky periods that would push temperatures toward 29°C or above, while cooler boundary-layer conditions keep sub-26°C outcomes less likely. Traders have priced 27°C as the modal outcome at 57% implied probability based on these stable, near-term guidance trends, with narrower spreads on adjacent bins reflecting residual forecast uncertainty in timing of any cloud breaks or moisture influx.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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