Numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles currently converge on a peak temperature of 26–28°C for Qingdao on June 5, driving the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes amid genuine forecast uncertainty. Coastal marine influences and northeasterly flow are moderating daytime heating, while persistent overcast conditions and moderate humidity limit further warming relative to inland areas. Early June climatology shows typical highs near 24–27°C, providing a baseline that aligns with the current setup. Traders are weighing small differences in model timing for any clearing skies or wind shifts that could push the daily maximum across the key thresholds, with the next official updates from regional meteorological centers expected to refine the range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 5?
26°C 65%
25°C or below 22.3%
27°C 13%
28°C 6.8%
$25,849 Vol.
$25,849 Vol.
25°C or below
22%
26°C
52%
27°C
24%
28°C
7%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
26°C 65%
25°C or below 22.3%
27°C 13%
28°C 6.8%
$25,849 Vol.
$25,849 Vol.
25°C or below
22%
26°C
52%
27°C
24%
28°C
7%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 3, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles currently converge on a peak temperature of 26–28°C for Qingdao on June 5, driving the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes amid genuine forecast uncertainty. Coastal marine influences and northeasterly flow are moderating daytime heating, while persistent overcast conditions and moderate humidity limit further warming relative to inland areas. Early June climatology shows typical highs near 24–27°C, providing a baseline that aligns with the current setup. Traders are weighing small differences in model timing for any clearing skies or wind shifts that could push the daily maximum across the key thresholds, with the next official updates from regional meteorological centers expected to refine the range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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