Latest forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting models indicate peak temperatures near 32°C in Tel Aviv on June 6 under clear skies and light northerly flow, aligning with the market's leading 32°C outcome at 41% implied probability and 33°C at 27.5%. Early June climatology shows average highs of 28–30°C, with occasional rises above 32°C when continental air overrides the moderating sea breeze. Recent days have recorded comparable readings around 30–32°C, supporting the combined 81% probability on 31–34°C. Resolution depends on the official maximum at Ben Gurion International Airport, with any afternoon model adjustments or unexpected onshore winds as the main variables before final confirmation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 6?
32°C 41%
33°C 28%
34°C 10%
31°C 7%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
41%
33°C
28%
34°C
10%
35°C or higher
2%
32°C 41%
33°C 28%
34°C 10%
31°C 7%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
41%
33°C
28%
34°C
10%
35°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting models indicate peak temperatures near 32°C in Tel Aviv on June 6 under clear skies and light northerly flow, aligning with the market's leading 32°C outcome at 41% implied probability and 33°C at 27.5%. Early June climatology shows average highs of 28–30°C, with occasional rises above 32°C when continental air overrides the moderating sea breeze. Recent days have recorded comparable readings around 30–32°C, supporting the combined 81% probability on 31–34°C. Resolution depends on the official maximum at Ben Gurion International Airport, with any afternoon model adjustments or unexpected onshore winds as the main variables before final confirmation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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