Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration indicate a daytime maximum near 30°C for Taipei on June 5 under partly cloudy conditions and an 80% chance of afternoon thundershowers. These conditions align with early summer monsoon patterns that bring high humidity and brief convective storms capable of capping peak temperatures. Historical June averages show daytime highs typically reaching 30–32°C, providing context for the market-implied probabilities clustering around 29–30°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between potential clearing skies that could allow brief warming and the cooling effect of showers, with limited upside risk beyond 31°C based on current model consensus. Real-time surface observations throughout the day will refine the final recorded maximum used for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on June 5?
29°C 54%
28°C 42.9%
30°C 29%
31°C 5%
$50,967 Vol.
$50,967 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
38%
29°C
49%
30°C
29%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 54%
28°C 42.9%
30°C 29%
31°C 5%
$50,967 Vol.
$50,967 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
38%
29°C
49%
30°C
29%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 3, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration indicate a daytime maximum near 30°C for Taipei on June 5 under partly cloudy conditions and an 80% chance of afternoon thundershowers. These conditions align with early summer monsoon patterns that bring high humidity and brief convective storms capable of capping peak temperatures. Historical June averages show daytime highs typically reaching 30–32°C, providing context for the market-implied probabilities clustering around 29–30°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between potential clearing skies that could allow brief warming and the cooling effect of showers, with limited upside risk beyond 31°C based on current model consensus. Real-time surface observations throughout the day will refine the final recorded maximum used for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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