Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a minimum temperature of 17°C on June 6 under cloudy conditions, aligning closely with the long-term early-June climatological normal of 17.5°C. This baseline, combined with typical tsuyu-season humidity and limited solar heating, supports the market's concentration of implied probability around 16–17°C. Model consensus from regional guidance shows modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and potential scattered showers, which could suppress overnight lows by 1–2°C or allow slight warming if clearer skies develop. No major atmospheric shifts, such as anomalous high-pressure systems, have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tokyo on June 6?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on June 6?
16°C 37%
17°C 24%
18°C 7%
15°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Jun 6, 2026
11°C or below
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
2%
15°C
6%
16°C
37%
17°C
23%
18°C
7%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
1%
16°C 37%
17°C 24%
18°C 7%
15°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Jun 6, 2026
11°C or below
$39 Vol.
1%
12°C
$18 Vol.
1%
13°C
$42 Vol.
4%
14°C
$25 Vol.
2%
15°C
$31 Vol.
6%
16°C
$37 Vol.
37%
17°C
$42 Vol.
23%
18°C
$36 Vol.
7%
19°C
$90 Vol.
4%
20°C
$67 Vol.
1%
21°C or higher
$100 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a minimum temperature of 17°C on June 6 under cloudy conditions, aligning closely with the long-term early-June climatological normal of 17.5°C. This baseline, combined with typical tsuyu-season humidity and limited solar heating, supports the market's concentration of implied probability around 16–17°C. Model consensus from regional guidance shows modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and potential scattered showers, which could suppress overnight lows by 1–2°C or allow slight warming if clearer skies develop. No major atmospheric shifts, such as anomalous high-pressure systems, have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 5, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Volume
$525End Date
Jun 6, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 12:41 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a minimum temperature of 17°C on June 6 under cloudy conditions, aligning closely with the long-term early-June climatological normal of 17.5°C. This baseline, combined with typical tsuyu-season humidity and limited solar heating, supports the market's concentration of implied probability around 16–17°C. Model consensus from regional guidance shows modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and potential scattered showers, which could suppress overnight lows by 1–2°C or allow slight warming if clearer skies develop. No major atmospheric shifts, such as anomalous high-pressure systems, have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$525End Date
Jun 6, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 12:41 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a minimum temperature of 17°C on June 6 under cloudy conditions, aligning closely with the long-term early-June climatological normal of 17.5°C. This baseline, combined with typical tsuyu-season humidity and limited solar heating, supports the market's concentration of implied probability around 16–17°C. Model consensus from regional guidance shows modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and potential scattered showers, which could suppress overnight lows by 1–2°C or allow slight warming if clearer skies develop. No major atmospheric shifts, such as anomalous high-pressure systems, have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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