Current forecasts from European models point to overnight lows in Paris on June 6 clustering near 13–14°C, driven by moderate cloud cover, light winds, and a stable air mass following recent cool conditions across northern France. This narrow range explains the tight market split between those two outcomes, as small shifts in timing of the daily minimum or localized urban heat effects could tip the exact reading. Historical early-June averages hover around 13°C, providing a baseline against which current guidance aligns closely, though ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty ahead of final model runs tomorrow morning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on June 6?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 6?
13°C 33%
14°C 33%
12°C 7%
11°C 2.5%
NEW
NEW
Jun 6, 2026
7°C or below
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
3%
12°C
7%
13°C
29%
14°C
32%
15°C
3%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
1%
13°C 33%
14°C 33%
12°C 7%
11°C 2.5%
NEW
NEW
Jun 6, 2026
7°C or below
$28 Vol.
1%
8°C
$28 Vol.
1%
9°C
$46 Vol.
1%
10°C
$55 Vol.
2%
11°C
$5 Vol.
3%
12°C
$5 Vol.
7%
13°C
$16 Vol.
29%
14°C
$10 Vol.
32%
15°C
$5 Vol.
3%
16°C
$15 Vol.
2%
17°C or higher
$75 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from European models point to overnight lows in Paris on June 6 clustering near 13–14°C, driven by moderate cloud cover, light winds, and a stable air mass following recent cool conditions across northern France. This narrow range explains the tight market split between those two outcomes, as small shifts in timing of the daily minimum or localized urban heat effects could tip the exact reading. Historical early-June averages hover around 13°C, providing a baseline against which current guidance aligns closely, though ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty ahead of final model runs tomorrow morning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 5, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Volume
$279End Date
Jun 6, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 12:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from European models point to overnight lows in Paris on June 6 clustering near 13–14°C, driven by moderate cloud cover, light winds, and a stable air mass following recent cool conditions across northern France. This narrow range explains the tight market split between those two outcomes, as small shifts in timing of the daily minimum or localized urban heat effects could tip the exact reading. Historical early-June averages hover around 13°C, providing a baseline against which current guidance aligns closely, though ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty ahead of final model runs tomorrow morning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$279End Date
Jun 6, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 12:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from European models point to overnight lows in Paris on June 6 clustering near 13–14°C, driven by moderate cloud cover, light winds, and a stable air mass following recent cool conditions across northern France. This narrow range explains the tight market split between those two outcomes, as small shifts in timing of the daily minimum or localized urban heat effects could tip the exact reading. Historical early-June averages hover around 13°C, providing a baseline against which current guidance aligns closely, though ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty ahead of final model runs tomorrow morning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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