Latest forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting models converge on a daytime maximum of 29–30°C for Tel Aviv on June 5 under moderate northerly flow and typical coastal sea-breeze moderation, aligning closely with early-June climatology where average highs range 28–30°C. This consensus drives the market’s strong 59.5% implied probability on 30°C, while the combined 39.5% share on 29°C and 31°C reflects minor model spread in peak heating timing. No heatwave, Sharav wind event, or significant deviation from seasonal patterns appears in current guidance, keeping probabilities for 32°C or higher below 4%. Resolution will depend on official daily maximum observations, with any late-afternoon revisions potentially influencing final settlement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 5?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 5?
30°C 57%
29°C 21%
31°C 19%
28°C 2.7%
NUEVO
$14,740 Vol.
NUEVO
$14,740 Vol.
5 jun 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
21%
30°C
57%
31°C
19%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 57%
29°C 21%
31°C 19%
28°C 2.7%
NUEVO
$14,740 Vol.
NUEVO
$14,740 Vol.
5 jun 2026
23°C or below
$742 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,111 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$342 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$400 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,637 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,842 Vol.
3%
29°C
$2,314 Vol.
21%
30°C
$1,205 Vol.
57%
31°C
$766 Vol.
19%
32°C
$2,254 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$2,161 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting models converge on a daytime maximum of 29–30°C for Tel Aviv on June 5 under moderate northerly flow and typical coastal sea-breeze moderation, aligning closely with early-June climatology where average highs range 28–30°C. This consensus drives the market’s strong 59.5% implied probability on 30°C, while the combined 39.5% share on 29°C and 31°C reflects minor model spread in peak heating timing. No heatwave, Sharav wind event, or significant deviation from seasonal patterns appears in current guidance, keeping probabilities for 32°C or higher below 4%. Resolution will depend on official daily maximum observations, with any late-afternoon revisions potentially influencing final settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 3, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volumen
$14,740Fecha de finalización
5 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 3, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting models converge on a daytime maximum of 29–30°C for Tel Aviv on June 5 under moderate northerly flow and typical coastal sea-breeze moderation, aligning closely with early-June climatology where average highs range 28–30°C. This consensus drives the market’s strong 59.5% implied probability on 30°C, while the combined 39.5% share on 29°C and 31°C reflects minor model spread in peak heating timing. No heatwave, Sharav wind event, or significant deviation from seasonal patterns appears in current guidance, keeping probabilities for 32°C or higher below 4%. Resolution will depend on official daily maximum observations, with any late-afternoon revisions potentially influencing final settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$14,740Fecha de finalización
5 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 3, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting models converge on a daytime maximum of 29–30°C for Tel Aviv on June 5 under moderate northerly flow and typical coastal sea-breeze moderation, aligning closely with early-June climatology where average highs range 28–30°C. This consensus drives the market’s strong 59.5% implied probability on 30°C, while the combined 39.5% share on 29°C and 31°C reflects minor model spread in peak heating timing. No heatwave, Sharav wind event, or significant deviation from seasonal patterns appears in current guidance, keeping probabilities for 32°C or higher below 4%. Resolution will depend on official daily maximum observations, with any late-afternoon revisions potentially influencing final settlement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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