Recent forecasts from meteorological models and agencies converge on a daily maximum of 23–24°C in Moscow on June 5 under partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal precipitation, positioning 24°C as the market favorite. This aligns with early-June climatology, where average highs hover near 22°C following May’s anomalous heatwave that briefly reached 32°C. Current observations and ensemble guidance show little deviation risk from these values, though minor model spread could allow a 1°C shift depending on afternoon cloud cover or insolation. Traders weigh these stable atmospheric conditions heavily against historical June extremes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on June 5?
24°C 51%
25°C 25%
23°C 15%
26°C 7.8%
$27,813 Vol.
$27,813 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
4%
23°C
15%
24°C
51%
25°C
25%
26°C
8%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 51%
25°C 25%
23°C 15%
26°C 7.8%
$27,813 Vol.
$27,813 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
4%
23°C
15%
24°C
51%
25°C
25%
26°C
8%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 3, 2026, 12:45 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models and agencies converge on a daily maximum of 23–24°C in Moscow on June 5 under partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal precipitation, positioning 24°C as the market favorite. This aligns with early-June climatology, where average highs hover near 22°C following May’s anomalous heatwave that briefly reached 32°C. Current observations and ensemble guidance show little deviation risk from these values, though minor model spread could allow a 1°C shift depending on afternoon cloud cover or insolation. Traders weigh these stable atmospheric conditions heavily against historical June extremes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions