Skip to main content
icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 5?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 5?

icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 5?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 5?

Jun 5

Jun 5

34°C 43%

35°C 42%

36°C or higher 9.0%

33°C 5.3%

Polymarket
NEW

$117,967 Vol.

34°C 43%

35°C 42%

36°C or higher 9.0%

33°C 5.3%

Polymarket
NEW

$117,967 Vol.

26°C or below

$1,287 Vol.

<1%

27°C

$287 Vol.

<1%

28°C

$3,097 Vol.

<1%

29°C

$5,329 Vol.

<1%

30°C

$9,000 Vol.

<1%

31°C

$23,247 Vol.

<1%

32°C

$15,907 Vol.

1%

33°C

$16,695 Vol.

5%

34°C

$11,876 Vol.

42%

35°C

$13,524 Vol.

42%

36°C or higher

$20,748 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daytime high of 28–34°C on June 5 under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and high humidity near 85%, consistent with above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by persistent high pressure over southern China. Model consensus points to peak readings in the mid-30s Celsius range, with minor variations possible from localized heating or brief showers. This uncertainty between 34°C and 35°C maxima underpins the near-even market-implied odds, as small shifts in cloud cover or timing of any convective activity could determine the exact daily peak recorded at official stations.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$117,967
End Date
Jun 5, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daytime high of 28–34°C on June 5 under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and high humidity near 85%, consistent with above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by persistent high pressure over southern China. Model consensus points to peak readings in the mid-30s Celsius range, with minor variations possible from localized heating or brief showers. This uncertainty between 34°C and 35°C maxima underpins the near-even market-implied odds, as small shifts in cloud cover or timing of any convective activity could determine the exact daily peak recorded at official stations.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$117,967
End Date
Jun 5, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Related

icon for Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 5?

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 5?

75%
icon for Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 5?

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 5?

40%
icon for Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?

38%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 5?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "34°C" at 42%, followed by "35°C" at 42%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 5?" has generated $118K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 5?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 5?" is "34°C" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "35°C" at 42%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 5?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.