Current short-range forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ensemble runs show Munich’s June 6 maximum temperature centered near 21–23 °C, driven by a mild south-westerly flow under partly cloudy skies with limited daytime heating. Model spread arises mainly from differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical June climatology for the region places the average daily high around 22 °C, providing context for why the 21 °C, 22 °C, and 23 °C bins hold nearly equal market-implied odds near 28–30 % each. Updated model guidance tonight and tomorrow morning will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution against official DWD observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on June 6?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 6?
22°C 32%
23°C 25%
21°C 21%
24°C or higher 11.5%
NEW
NEW
Jun 6, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
21%
22°C
32%
23°C
25%
24°C or higher
12%
22°C 32%
23°C 25%
21°C 21%
24°C or higher 11.5%
NEW
NEW
Jun 6, 2026
14°C or below
$60 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$60 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$60 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$55 Vol.
1%
18°C
$67 Vol.
1%
19°C
$254 Vol.
2%
20°C
$920 Vol.
5%
21°C
$610 Vol.
21%
22°C
$461 Vol.
32%
23°C
$528 Vol.
25%
24°C or higher
$571 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ensemble runs show Munich’s June 6 maximum temperature centered near 21–23 °C, driven by a mild south-westerly flow under partly cloudy skies with limited daytime heating. Model spread arises mainly from differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical June climatology for the region places the average daily high around 22 °C, providing context for why the 21 °C, 22 °C, and 23 °C bins hold nearly equal market-implied odds near 28–30 % each. Updated model guidance tonight and tomorrow morning will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution against official DWD observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 5, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$3,492End Date
Jun 6, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ensemble runs show Munich’s June 6 maximum temperature centered near 21–23 °C, driven by a mild south-westerly flow under partly cloudy skies with limited daytime heating. Model spread arises mainly from differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical June climatology for the region places the average daily high around 22 °C, providing context for why the 21 °C, 22 °C, and 23 °C bins hold nearly equal market-implied odds near 28–30 % each. Updated model guidance tonight and tomorrow morning will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution against official DWD observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,492End Date
Jun 6, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ensemble runs show Munich’s June 6 maximum temperature centered near 21–23 °C, driven by a mild south-westerly flow under partly cloudy skies with limited daytime heating. Model spread arises mainly from differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical June climatology for the region places the average daily high around 22 °C, providing context for why the 21 °C, 22 °C, and 23 °C bins hold nearly equal market-implied odds near 28–30 % each. Updated model guidance tonight and tomorrow morning will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution against official DWD observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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