Early June warming along South Korea’s southern coast positions 28–29°C as the most probable daily high for Busan, with trader consensus centered on 29°C at 47% implied probability. Coastal moderation from the East Sea typically caps extremes compared with inland areas, while seasonal solar heating and rising humidity support gradual temperature increases from May baselines. Official outlooks show typical early-month highs in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius with limited deviation expected absent unusual atmospheric blocking. Recent model guidance indicates no significant heat anomaly or monsoon influence yet, keeping 30°C+ at lower odds around 22–28% combined. New observational data from the Korea Meteorological Administration will refine resolution as the day progresses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on June 5?
29°C 47%
28°C 26%
30°C 23%
31°C or higher 6%
$28,050 Vol.
$28,050 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
26%
29°C
47%
30°C
23%
31°C or higher
6%
29°C 47%
28°C 26%
30°C 23%
31°C or higher 6%
$28,050 Vol.
$28,050 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
26%
29°C
47%
30°C
23%
31°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 3, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Early June warming along South Korea’s southern coast positions 28–29°C as the most probable daily high for Busan, with trader consensus centered on 29°C at 47% implied probability. Coastal moderation from the East Sea typically caps extremes compared with inland areas, while seasonal solar heating and rising humidity support gradual temperature increases from May baselines. Official outlooks show typical early-month highs in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius with limited deviation expected absent unusual atmospheric blocking. Recent model guidance indicates no significant heat anomaly or monsoon influence yet, keeping 30°C+ at lower odds around 22–28% combined. New observational data from the Korea Meteorological Administration will refine resolution as the day progresses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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