Current official forecasts for Beijing on June 5 project a daily high near 27°C under sunny to partly cloudy conditions, with light southerly winds and moderate humidity, aligning closely with the market’s leading 40.5% implied probability for that outcome. Recent model runs show limited warming potential due to stable atmospheric patterns and no strong frontal systems, keeping consensus between 26–28°C. This narrow range reflects typical early-June variability, where small shifts in cloud cover or wind can alter peak readings by 1–2°C before official verification. Historical June averages hover around 30°C, but present steering patterns favor the lower end of the distribution. Updated observations from central stations will resolve the market by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on June 5?
27°C 39%
28°C 37%
29°C 21%
26°C 6%
$53,651 Vol.
$53,651 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
39%
28°C
37%
29°C
21%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 39%
28°C 37%
29°C 21%
26°C 6%
$53,651 Vol.
$53,651 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
39%
28°C
37%
29°C
21%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 3, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current official forecasts for Beijing on June 5 project a daily high near 27°C under sunny to partly cloudy conditions, with light southerly winds and moderate humidity, aligning closely with the market’s leading 40.5% implied probability for that outcome. Recent model runs show limited warming potential due to stable atmospheric patterns and no strong frontal systems, keeping consensus between 26–28°C. This narrow range reflects typical early-June variability, where small shifts in cloud cover or wind can alter peak readings by 1–2°C before official verification. Historical June averages hover around 30°C, but present steering patterns favor the lower end of the distribution. Updated observations from central stations will resolve the market by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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