Latest Met Office and BBC forecasts for London indicate an overnight minimum of 12–13°C on June 6, consistent with near-normal early-summer conditions under a moderate westerly flow and limited cloud cover. These model runs, incorporating ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, position the 12–13°C range as the most probable outcome and explain the market’s concentration around those levels. Historical June climatology shows average lows near 11–12°C, providing additional context for trader consensus. Resolution will occur once official observations are recorded overnight, with any last-hour model adjustments potentially shifting implied probabilities before the close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLowest temperature in London on June 6?
13°C 38%
12°C 21%
14°C 15%
15°C 7%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
5%
12°C
26%
13°C
38%
14°C
15%
15°C
7%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 38%
12°C 21%
14°C 15%
15°C 7%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
5%
12°C
26%
13°C
38%
14°C
15%
15°C
7%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 5, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office and BBC forecasts for London indicate an overnight minimum of 12–13°C on June 6, consistent with near-normal early-summer conditions under a moderate westerly flow and limited cloud cover. These model runs, incorporating ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, position the 12–13°C range as the most probable outcome and explain the market’s concentration around those levels. Historical June climatology shows average lows near 11–12°C, providing additional context for trader consensus. Resolution will occur once official observations are recorded overnight, with any last-hour model adjustments potentially shifting implied probabilities before the close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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