Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate an overnight low near 17°C for Tokyo on June 5, consistent with early June climatology where minimum temperatures average 17–18°C amid rising seasonal warmth and moderate humidity. Recent model consensus shows stable atmospheric conditions without incoming cold fronts or unusual cooling, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 17°C at 70.5% implied probability and 16°C at 24.5%. Resolution depends on the official JMA station reading, with traders monitoring any late-day adjustments in guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tokyo on June 5?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on June 5?
17°C 71%
16°C 26%
15°C 7%
14°C 1.0%
NEW
$10,451 Vol.
NEW
$10,451 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
7%
16°C
31%
17°C
71%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 71%
16°C 26%
15°C 7%
14°C 1.0%
NEW
$10,451 Vol.
NEW
$10,451 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
11°C or below
$897 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$147 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,775 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$712 Vol.
1%
15°C
$462 Vol.
7%
16°C
$76 Vol.
31%
17°C
$214 Vol.
71%
18°C
$4,498 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$922 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,457 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$307 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate an overnight low near 17°C for Tokyo on June 5, consistent with early June climatology where minimum temperatures average 17–18°C amid rising seasonal warmth and moderate humidity. Recent model consensus shows stable atmospheric conditions without incoming cold fronts or unusual cooling, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 17°C at 70.5% implied probability and 16°C at 24.5%. Resolution depends on the official JMA station reading, with traders monitoring any late-day adjustments in guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 3, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$10,451End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate an overnight low near 17°C for Tokyo on June 5, consistent with early June climatology where minimum temperatures average 17–18°C amid rising seasonal warmth and moderate humidity. Recent model consensus shows stable atmospheric conditions without incoming cold fronts or unusual cooling, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 17°C at 70.5% implied probability and 16°C at 24.5%. Resolution depends on the official JMA station reading, with traders monitoring any late-day adjustments in guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,451End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate an overnight low near 17°C for Tokyo on June 5, consistent with early June climatology where minimum temperatures average 17–18°C amid rising seasonal warmth and moderate humidity. Recent model consensus shows stable atmospheric conditions without incoming cold fronts or unusual cooling, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 17°C at 70.5% implied probability and 16°C at 24.5%. Resolution depends on the official JMA station reading, with traders monitoring any late-day adjustments in guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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